# Rivo

> Rivo is the prediction market terminal. It ingests every market and every trade on Polymarket, Polymarket US, Kalshi and Gemini and puts them in one feed you can trade from with one click. Backtest, build bots, follow traders and get alerts. Backtesting and paper strategies cover Polymarket, Polymarket US, Kalshi, and Gemini. Live Autopilot runs on Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Gemini, each through your own connected account; Polymarket support today is manual trading through your connected wallet. Account readiness, permissions, and configured limits still apply.

The subscription is $9/week or $15/month, including REST API and remote MCP access subject to quotas. Venue charges are separate. Public research describes observed samples and hypothetical results, not verified customer profits.

## Research, comparisons, and product information

- [About Rivo: Prediction Market Terminal for 4 Venues](https://rivo.markets/about): Rivo is the prediction market terminal for Polymarket, Polymarket US, Kalshi and Gemini. It ingests every market and every trade. Build bots without code and connect research to execution. $9 a week or $15 a month.
- [Methodology: How Rivo Scores Whales, Traders and Strategies](https://rivo.markets/methodology): How Rivo records trades, settles markets, computes paper PnL, grades traders and validates strategies out of sample.
- [Compare Prediction Market Tools: Trackers, Backtesters, Bots](https://rivo.markets/compare): A buyer's guide to prediction market tooling: what trackers, research suites, backtesters and execution bots each do, and how to pick by workflow.
- [Best Kalshi Trading Tools Compared: Rivo vs Kairos vs Bots](https://rivo.markets/compare/kalshi-trading-tools): Rivo, Kairos, Bot for Kalshi and WhaleTracks compared on price, venues, trader identity, backtesting, paper trading, execution and API access.
- [Polymarket Copy Trading Bots Compared: Kreo, PolyCop, PolyGun](https://rivo.markets/compare/polymarket-copy-trading-bots): Rivo, Kreo, PolyCop, PolyGun and Polycopy compared on custody, trader records, backtesting, paper mode, risk controls and fees per trade, from their own pages.
- [Prediction Market Bot Builders Compared: Rivo vs Turbine](https://rivo.markets/compare/prediction-market-bot-builders): Rivo, Turbine, Bot for Kalshi and Kairos compared on what a bot can react to, backtesting, paper mode, live execution, venues and price, from their own pages.
- [Prediction Market MCP Server for Claude, ChatGPT and Cursor](https://rivo.markets/prediction-market-mcp): A remote MCP server over Polymarket and Kalshi whale data: 24 tools for backtesting rules, ranking traders, reading the live tape, and trading with guardrails.
- [Prediction Market Research: Published Whale Outcome Studies](https://rivo.markets/research): Fixed, downloadable studies of recorded Polymarket and Kalshi whale trades: observation windows, settlement results, paper PnL, and every exclusion.
- [Polymarket Leaderboard: Top Traders Ranked by Profit](https://rivo.markets/polymarket-leaderboard): The top Polymarket traders ranked by the profit we computed from their settled trades. Sort by win rate, return or money traded and open any wallet's full record.
- [Kalshi Leaderboard: Top Traders Ranked by Profit](https://rivo.markets/kalshi-leaderboard): The top Kalshi traders ranked by the profit we computed from their settled trades. Sort by win rate, return or money traded and copy any of them with a bot.
- [Polymarket Wallet Tracker: Look Up Any Address](https://rivo.markets/polymarket-wallet-tracker): Paste a Polymarket address to see the wallet's profit on settled markets, win rate, bet sizes and most traded markets. Follow it for alerts on every new position.
- [Kalshi API: Keys, Authentication, Endpoints and Rate Limits](https://rivo.markets/kalshi-api): How to use the Kalshi API: create an RSA or Ed25519 key, sign requests, call the main REST endpoints and WebSocket channels, stay inside the rate limit tiers and test in the demo environment.
- [Polymarket API: Gamma, CLOB, WebSocket and Polymarket US](https://rivo.markets/polymarket-api): How to use the Polymarket API: the Gamma, Data and CLOB APIs for polymarket.com, wallet-based authentication, CLOB V2 changes, rate limits, the geoblock check and the separate Polymarket US API.
- [Kalshi vs Polymarket: Fees, Rules and Where You Can Trade](https://rivo.markets/kalshi-vs-polymarket): Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket Global and Gemini compared on regulation, who can sign up, fees, parlays, resolution, withdrawals and APIs, from each venue's own docs.
- [Prediction Market Arbitrage: Kalshi, Polymarket and Gemini](https://rivo.markets/prediction-market-arbitrage): The widest live price gaps between Kalshi, Polymarket and Gemini on the biggest markets, how cross-venue arbitrage works, worked examples with fees, and why two markets on one question can settle differently.
- [Prediction Market Terminal for Kalshi, Polymarket and Gemini](https://rivo.markets/prediction-market-terminal): Rivo is the terminal for Kalshi, Polymarket, Polymarket US and Gemini: every market and every trade in one feed you can trade from. Bots, alerts and portfolio included. $9 a week or $15 a month.
- [Where Can I Trade Prediction Markets? Kalshi and Polymarket by State](https://rivo.markets/where-can-i-trade-prediction-markets): Pick your country and state to see whether Kalshi, Polymarket US, polymarket.com and Gemini are open to you, with each venue's source and the date we checked.
- [Is Kalshi Down? Live Kalshi Status Right Now](https://rivo.markets/is-kalshi-down): Live Kalshi status from Rivo's own read of the Kalshi trade feed: when the last trade printed, how busy the last day was hour by hour, and what to check when the app or a deposit stalls.
- [Is Polymarket Down? Live Polymarket Status Right Now](https://rivo.markets/is-polymarket-down): Live Polymarket status from Rivo's own read of the Polymarket trade feed: when the last trade printed, how busy the last day was hour by hour, and what to check when the site or a deposit stalls.
- [Kalshi Odds: Live Prices for NFL, NBA, Fed and More](https://rivo.markets/kalshi-odds): Live Kalshi odds on the biggest markets: Super Bowl, NBA title, World Series, the Fed and Congress. Every outcome's Kalshi price beside Polymarket, with whale money and order books one click in.
- [Polymarket Odds: Live Prices for Every Big Market](https://rivo.markets/polymarket-odds): Live Polymarket odds on the biggest markets: Super Bowl, NBA title, World Series, the Fed and Congress. Every outcome's Polymarket price beside Kalshi, with whale money and order books one click in.
- [Polymarket Copy Trading: Find and Copy Top Wallets](https://rivo.markets/polymarket-copy-trading): Copy trade Polymarket with Rivo: rank every wallet by settled profit, test a trader at your stake, get an alert on each new position and run a copy bot on paper before real money.
- [Polymarket Analytics: Wallet Tracker and Whale Flow](https://rivo.markets/polymarket-analytics): Polymarket analytics in one terminal: every market and trade, wallet records with profit and win rate, whale flow by market, price moves and alerts. $9 a week or $15 a month.
- [Robinhood Prediction Markets: How They Work vs Kalshi](https://rivo.markets/robinhood-prediction-markets): How Robinhood prediction markets work: the exchanges behind them, what you can trade, fees with a worked example, payouts and who can sign up, compared with Kalshi and Polymarket US.
- [Best Prediction Market Apps: 13 Compared on Fees](https://rivo.markets/best-prediction-market-apps): The best prediction market apps compared: Kalshi, Polymarket, Robinhood, DraftKings, FanDuel, Coinbase, Gemini and six more on regulation, markets, fees, order books and APIs, and the one terminal that trades four of them.
- [Prediction Market Paper Trading: Live Odds, No Money](https://rivo.markets/prediction-market-paper-trading): Paper trade prediction markets on Rivo: place practice orders on Kalshi, Polymarket, Polymarket US and Gemini at the live order book price and fee, by hand or with a bot, with no venue account.
- [Kalshi Paper Trading and Demo: Practice on Live Markets](https://rivo.markets/kalshi-paper-trading): Paper trade Kalshi on Rivo: practice orders on any live Kalshi market, filled against the real order book with Kalshi's own fee, tracked in a paper portfolio. Kalshi's own demo account explained.

## Product pages

Kalshi is a first-class venue, not an add-on: the Kalshi pages describe the same terminal, trader records, strategy engine and Autopilot as the Polymarket ones.

- [Kalshi whale tracker](https://rivo.markets/kalshi-whale-tracker): Live large trades on Kalshi with the trader, market, side, size, and entry price attached.
- [Kalshi insider trading tracker](https://rivo.markets/kalshi-insider-trading): Unusual Kalshi positions with trader identity, market context, and resolved performance.
- [Kalshi copy trading bot](https://rivo.markets/kalshi-copy-trading-bot): Mirror a Kalshi trader automatically through your own connected Kalshi key.
- [Polymarket whale tracker](https://rivo.markets/polymarket-whale-tracker): Real-time whale trades on Polymarket with resolved PnL and wallet history.
- [Polymarket insider trading tracker](https://rivo.markets/polymarket-insider-trading): Unusual Polymarket positions with wallet history, entry price, and resolved performance.
- [Polymarket smart money tracker](https://rivo.markets/polymarket-smart-money): Where the ranked Polymarket traders are positioned right now, and how those positions resolved.
- [Polymarket Telegram bot](https://rivo.markets/polymarket-telegram-bot): Followed-account trades and strategy updates delivered straight to Telegram.
- [Kalshi and Polymarket alerts](https://rivo.markets/alerts): Whale alerts on your phone, your computer and Telegram for every Kalshi and Polymarket trade that fits your price, size and sport.
- [Polymarket and Kalshi price alerts](https://rivo.markets/price-alerts): Get notified when a market hits your price, when the odds move, when big money arrives and when it resolves.
- [Copy trading prediction markets](https://rivo.markets/copy-trading-prediction-markets): How copy trading actually works across Polymarket and Kalshi, and where it breaks down.
- [Backtesting](https://rivo.markets/prediction-market-backtesting): Score a trader or a signal against resolved Polymarket and Kalshi markets before the bot runs.
- [Live bots](https://rivo.markets/prediction-market-autopilot): Promote a paper bot to live and it places real orders through your own account, inside your ceilings.
- [Polymarket trading bot](https://rivo.markets/polymarket-trading-bot): Copy a Polymarket wallet with a public record or match whale trades by signal, backtest it, and run it on paper or live on Polymarket US.
- [Kalshi trading bot](https://rivo.markets/kalshi-trading-bot): Build a Kalshi bot without code: copy a named Kalshi trader or match large trades by signal, backtest it, then run it live on your own key.
- [Prediction market bot builder](https://rivo.markets/prediction-market-trading-bot): Build a bot in three steps: a trader or a signal as the trigger, a backtest at your size, then alerts, paper or live on your own account.
- [Tracked traders](https://rivo.markets/traders): Ranked traders on Polymarket and Kalshi with the records we observed ourselves.
- [Polymarket copy trading bots compared](https://rivo.markets/compare/polymarket-copy-trading-bots): Kreo, PolyCop, PolyGun, Polycopy and Rivo on custody, trader records, backtesting, paper mode and fees.
- [Prediction market bot builders compared](https://rivo.markets/compare/prediction-market-bot-builders): Rivo, Turbine, Bot for Kalshi and Kairos on what a bot reacts to, backtesting, paper mode, venues and price.
- [Prediction market leaderboard this week](https://rivo.markets/leaderboard/weekly): The Polymarket and Kalshi traders who made the most over the past 7 days, updated hourly.
- [Best sports traders this week](https://rivo.markets/leaderboard/sports/weekly): This week's most profitable sports traders, with boards for the NFL, NBA, soccer, tennis and more.
- [Polymarket leaderboard](https://rivo.markets/polymarket-leaderboard): The top Polymarket traders ranked by profit from their settled trades.
- [Kalshi leaderboard](https://rivo.markets/kalshi-leaderboard): The top Kalshi traders ranked by profit from their settled trades.
- [Polymarket wallet tracker](https://rivo.markets/polymarket-wallet-tracker): Paste any Polymarket address to open the wallet's record and follow it.
- [Kalshi API guide](https://rivo.markets/kalshi-api): Keys, request signing, endpoints, WebSocket channels and rate limits for the Kalshi API.
- [Polymarket API guide](https://rivo.markets/polymarket-api): Gamma, Data and CLOB APIs, authentication and the separate Polymarket US API.
- [Kalshi vs Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/kalshi-vs-polymarket): Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket Global and Gemini compared on fees, rules and access.
- [Prediction market arbitrage](https://rivo.markets/prediction-market-arbitrage): How cross-venue arbitrage works and when fees and resolution rules erase the spread.
- [Prediction market terminal](https://rivo.markets/prediction-market-terminal): Kalshi, Polymarket, Polymarket US and Gemini in one screen for research, trading and bots.
- [Where can I trade prediction markets](https://rivo.markets/where-can-i-trade-prediction-markets): Check Kalshi, Polymarket US, polymarket.com and Gemini for your country and state.
- [Is Kalshi down](https://rivo.markets/is-kalshi-down): Live Kalshi status from Rivo's own record of Kalshi trades, hour by hour.
- [Is Polymarket down](https://rivo.markets/is-polymarket-down): Live Polymarket status from Rivo's own record of Polymarket trades, hour by hour.
- [Kalshi odds](https://rivo.markets/kalshi-odds): Live Kalshi prices on the biggest markets beside Polymarket, with American odds.
- [Polymarket odds](https://rivo.markets/polymarket-odds): Live Polymarket prices on the biggest markets beside Kalshi, with American odds.
- [Polymarket copy trading](https://rivo.markets/polymarket-copy-trading): Rank Polymarket wallets, test one at your stake and copy it from alerts or a paper bot.
- [Polymarket analytics](https://rivo.markets/polymarket-analytics): Wallet records, whale flow, price moves and every Polymarket trade in one terminal.
- [Robinhood prediction markets](https://rivo.markets/robinhood-prediction-markets): How Robinhood event contracts work and how they compare with Kalshi.
- [Best prediction market apps](https://rivo.markets/best-prediction-market-apps): Kalshi, Polymarket, Robinhood, DraftKings, FanDuel, Coinbase and Gemini compared.
- [Prediction market paper trading](https://rivo.markets/prediction-market-paper-trading): Practice orders and paper bots on four venues at the live book price and fee.
- [Kalshi paper trading](https://rivo.markets/kalshi-paper-trading): Paper orders on live Kalshi markets, and how Kalshi's own demo account differs.
- [Pricing](https://rivo.markets/pricing): $9/week or $15/month covering all 4 venues, connected trading, paper strategies, alerts, API and MCP. Cancel anytime. No custody.
- [API and MCP overview](https://rivo.markets/api): Remote MCP server and REST API over the same history: score a rule, sweep a threshold, compare rules and traders, read the live feed, deploy a paper strategy. Full reference at https://rivo.markets/docs.

## Live odds by market

Each market below is priced side by side on every venue that lists it, with each venue's order book and whale bets on its page. The percentage is the median price across venues when this file was built (it is rebuilt every hour); the linked page has the current number. All markets: https://rivo.markets/markets.

### [Super Bowl LXI Odds](https://rivo.markets/markets/super-bowl-odds)

Who will win Super Bowl LXI? Priced on Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US; settles 2027-02-14.

- [San Francisco 49ers](https://rivo.markets/markets/super-bowl-odds/san-francisco-49ers): 13%
- [Buffalo Bills](https://rivo.markets/markets/super-bowl-odds/buffalo-bills): 12%
- [Los Angeles Rams](https://rivo.markets/markets/super-bowl-odds/los-angeles-rams): 11%
- [Kansas City Chiefs](https://rivo.markets/markets/super-bowl-odds/kansas-city-chiefs): 10%
- [Baltimore Ravens](https://rivo.markets/markets/super-bowl-odds/baltimore-ravens): 8%
- [Seattle Seahawks](https://rivo.markets/markets/super-bowl-odds/seattle-seahawks): 8%
- [Jacksonville Jaguars](https://rivo.markets/markets/super-bowl-odds/jacksonville-jaguars): 7%
- [Minnesota Vikings](https://rivo.markets/markets/super-bowl-odds/minnesota-vikings): 4%
- [Cincinnati Bengals](https://rivo.markets/markets/super-bowl-odds/cincinnati-bengals): 4%
- [Chicago Bears](https://rivo.markets/markets/super-bowl-odds/chicago-bears): 3%
- [New England Patriots](https://rivo.markets/markets/super-bowl-odds/new-england-patriots): 3%
- [Detroit Lions](https://rivo.markets/markets/super-bowl-odds/detroit-lions): 3%
- [Denver Broncos](https://rivo.markets/markets/super-bowl-odds/denver-broncos): 3%
- [Dallas Cowboys](https://rivo.markets/markets/super-bowl-odds/dallas-cowboys): 3%
- [Philadelphia Eagles](https://rivo.markets/markets/super-bowl-odds/philadelphia-eagles): 2%
- [Green Bay Packers](https://rivo.markets/markets/super-bowl-odds/green-bay-packers): 2%
- [Houston Texans](https://rivo.markets/markets/super-bowl-odds/houston-texans): 2%
- [New York Giants](https://rivo.markets/markets/super-bowl-odds/new-york-giants): 1%
- [Tampa Bay Buccaneers](https://rivo.markets/markets/super-bowl-odds/tampa-bay-buccaneers): 1%
- [Las Vegas Raiders](https://rivo.markets/markets/super-bowl-odds/las-vegas-raiders): 1%
- [Cleveland Browns](https://rivo.markets/markets/super-bowl-odds/cleveland-browns): 1%
- [Washington Commanders](https://rivo.markets/markets/super-bowl-odds/washington-commanders): 1%
- [Indianapolis Colts](https://rivo.markets/markets/super-bowl-odds/indianapolis-colts): 1%
- [Arizona Cardinals](https://rivo.markets/markets/super-bowl-odds/arizona-cardinals): 1%
- [New Orleans Saints](https://rivo.markets/markets/super-bowl-odds/new-orleans-saints): 1%
- [New York Jets](https://rivo.markets/markets/super-bowl-odds/new-york-jets): 1%
- [Los Angeles Chargers](https://rivo.markets/markets/super-bowl-odds/los-angeles-chargers): 1%
- [Tennessee Titans](https://rivo.markets/markets/super-bowl-odds/tennessee-titans): 1%
- [Pittsburgh Steelers](https://rivo.markets/markets/super-bowl-odds/pittsburgh-steelers): 1%
- [Carolina Panthers](https://rivo.markets/markets/super-bowl-odds/carolina-panthers): 1%
- [Atlanta Falcons](https://rivo.markets/markets/super-bowl-odds/atlanta-falcons): 1%
- [Miami Dolphins](https://rivo.markets/markets/super-bowl-odds/miami-dolphins): 1%

### [World Series Odds](https://rivo.markets/markets/world-series-odds)

Who will win the 2026 World Series? Priced on Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US; settles 2026-10-31.

- [Milwaukee Brewers](https://rivo.markets/markets/world-series-odds/milwaukee-brewers): 58%
- [Tampa Bay Rays](https://rivo.markets/markets/world-series-odds/tampa-bay-rays): 22%
- [Cleveland Guardians](https://rivo.markets/markets/world-series-odds/cleveland-guardians): 14%
- [Los Angeles Dodgers](https://rivo.markets/markets/world-series-odds/los-angeles-dodgers): 7%

### [NBA Championship Odds](https://rivo.markets/markets/nba-championship-odds)

Who will win the 2027 NBA Finals? Priced on Kalshi, Polymarket, Polymarket US and Gemini; settles 2027-06-18.

- [Oklahoma City Thunder](https://rivo.markets/markets/nba-championship-odds/oklahoma-city-thunder): 23%
- [San Antonio Spurs](https://rivo.markets/markets/nba-championship-odds/san-antonio-spurs): 22%
- [Philadelphia 76ers](https://rivo.markets/markets/nba-championship-odds/philadelphia-76ers): 10%
- [New York Knicks](https://rivo.markets/markets/nba-championship-odds/new-york-knicks): 9%
- [Minnesota Timberwolves](https://rivo.markets/markets/nba-championship-odds/minnesota-timberwolves): 7%
- [Miami Heat](https://rivo.markets/markets/nba-championship-odds/miami-heat): 6%
- [Boston Celtics](https://rivo.markets/markets/nba-championship-odds/boston-celtics): 5%
- [Toronto Raptors](https://rivo.markets/markets/nba-championship-odds/toronto-raptors): 3%
- [Denver Nuggets](https://rivo.markets/markets/nba-championship-odds/denver-nuggets): 3%
- [Cleveland Cavaliers](https://rivo.markets/markets/nba-championship-odds/cleveland-cavaliers): 3%
- [Los Angeles Lakers](https://rivo.markets/markets/nba-championship-odds/los-angeles-lakers): 2%
- [Indiana Pacers](https://rivo.markets/markets/nba-championship-odds/indiana-pacers): 2%
- [Houston Rockets](https://rivo.markets/markets/nba-championship-odds/houston-rockets): 2%
- [Detroit Pistons](https://rivo.markets/markets/nba-championship-odds/detroit-pistons): 2%
- [Golden State Warriors](https://rivo.markets/markets/nba-championship-odds/golden-state-warriors): 2%
- [Portland Trail Blazers](https://rivo.markets/markets/nba-championship-odds/portland-trail-blazers): 1%
- [Brooklyn Nets](https://rivo.markets/markets/nba-championship-odds/brooklyn-nets): 1%
- [Phoenix Suns](https://rivo.markets/markets/nba-championship-odds/phoenix-suns): 1%
- [Los Angeles Clippers](https://rivo.markets/markets/nba-championship-odds/los-angeles-clippers): 1%
- [Memphis Grizzlies](https://rivo.markets/markets/nba-championship-odds/memphis-grizzlies): 1%
- [Milwaukee Bucks](https://rivo.markets/markets/nba-championship-odds/milwaukee-bucks): 1%
- [New Orleans Pelicans](https://rivo.markets/markets/nba-championship-odds/new-orleans-pelicans): 1%
- [Sacramento Kings](https://rivo.markets/markets/nba-championship-odds/sacramento-kings): 1%
- [Charlotte Hornets](https://rivo.markets/markets/nba-championship-odds/charlotte-hornets): 1%
- [Dallas Mavericks](https://rivo.markets/markets/nba-championship-odds/dallas-mavericks): 1%
- [Chicago Bulls](https://rivo.markets/markets/nba-championship-odds/chicago-bulls): 1%
- [Orlando Magic](https://rivo.markets/markets/nba-championship-odds/orlando-magic): 1%
- [Washington Wizards](https://rivo.markets/markets/nba-championship-odds/washington-wizards): 1%
- [Atlanta Hawks](https://rivo.markets/markets/nba-championship-odds/atlanta-hawks): 1%
- [Utah Jazz](https://rivo.markets/markets/nba-championship-odds/utah-jazz): 1%

### [College Football Championship Odds](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds)

Who will win the 2027 College Football Playoff national championship? Priced on Kalshi, Polymarket, Polymarket US and Gemini; settles 2027-01-25.

- [Georgia Bulldogs](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/georgia-bulldogs): 19%
- [Ohio State Buckeyes](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/ohio-state-buckeyes): 18%
- [Notre Dame Fighting Irish](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/notre-dame-fighting-irish): 14%
- [Miami Hurricanes](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/miami-hurricanes): 13%
- [Texas Longhorns](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/texas-longhorns): 9%
- [Indiana Hoosiers](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/indiana-hoosiers): 8%
- [Alabama Crimson Tide](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/alabama-crimson-tide): 7%
- [Mississippi Rebels](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/mississippi-rebels): 4%
- [LSU Tigers](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/lsu-tigers): 2%
- [Utah](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/utah): 2%
- [North Carolina St.](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/north-carolina-st): 2%
- [Texas Tech Red Raiders](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/texas-tech-red-raiders): 2%
- [Clemson](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/clemson): 1%
- [Arizona St.](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/arizona-st): 1%
- [Georgia Tech](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/georgia-tech): 1%
- [Baylor](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/baylor): 1%
- [Illinois](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/illinois): 1%
- [California](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/california): 1%
- [Auburn](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/auburn): 1%
- [Arizona](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/arizona): 1%
- [Kansas St.](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/kansas-st): 1%
- [Houston](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/houston): 1%
- [Louisville](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/louisville): 1%
- [Miami (OH)](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/miami-oh): 1%
- [Pittsburgh](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/pittsburgh): 1%
- [USC Trojans](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/usc-trojans): 1%
- [Kentucky](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/kentucky): 1%
- [Oklahoma Sooners](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/oklahoma-sooners): 1%
- [TCU](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/tcu): 1%
- [Vanderbilt](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/vanderbilt): 1%
- [Tulane](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/tulane): 1%
- [Florida St.](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/florida-st): 1%
- [Florida Gators](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/florida-gators): 1%
- [Virginia Tech](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/virginia-tech): 1%
- [Missouri](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/missouri): 1%
- [Michigan Wolverines](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/michigan-wolverines): 1%
- [Penn St.](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/penn-st): 1%
- [Oregon Ducks](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/oregon-ducks): 1%
- [Virginia](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/virginia): 1%
- [Oklahoma St.](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/oklahoma-st): 1%
- [Iowa](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/iowa): 1%
- [Texas A&M Aggies](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/texas-a-and-m-aggies): 1%
- [Arkansas](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/arkansas): 1%
- [James Madison](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/james-madison): 1%
- [Washington](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/washington): 1%
- [South Carolina](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/south-carolina): 1%
- [BYU](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/byu): 1%
- [Tennessee](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/tennessee): 1%
- [SMU](https://rivo.markets/markets/college-football-championship-odds/smu): 1%

### [Stanley Cup Odds](https://rivo.markets/markets/stanley-cup-odds)

Who will win the 2027 Stanley Cup? Priced on Kalshi, Polymarket, Polymarket US and Gemini; settles 2027-06-18.

- [Colorado Avalanche](https://rivo.markets/markets/stanley-cup-odds/colorado-avalanche): 11%
- [Florida Panthers](https://rivo.markets/markets/stanley-cup-odds/florida-panthers): 10%
- [Carolina Hurricanes](https://rivo.markets/markets/stanley-cup-odds/carolina-hurricanes): 10%
- [Edmonton Oilers](https://rivo.markets/markets/stanley-cup-odds/edmonton-oilers): 9%
- [Vegas Golden Knights](https://rivo.markets/markets/stanley-cup-odds/vegas-golden-knights): 8%
- [Minnesota Wild](https://rivo.markets/markets/stanley-cup-odds/minnesota-wild): 7%
- [Tampa Bay Lightning](https://rivo.markets/markets/stanley-cup-odds/tampa-bay-lightning): 7%
- [Montreal Canadiens](https://rivo.markets/markets/stanley-cup-odds/montreal-canadiens): 5%
- [San Jose Sharks](https://rivo.markets/markets/stanley-cup-odds/san-jose-sharks): 5%
- [Dallas Stars](https://rivo.markets/markets/stanley-cup-odds/dallas-stars): 5%
- [Washington Capitals](https://rivo.markets/markets/stanley-cup-odds/washington-capitals): 4%
- [New Jersey Devils](https://rivo.markets/markets/stanley-cup-odds/new-jersey-devils): 4%
- [Utah Mammoth](https://rivo.markets/markets/stanley-cup-odds/utah-mammoth): 4%
- [Ottawa Senators](https://rivo.markets/markets/stanley-cup-odds/ottawa-senators): 3%
- [Anaheim Ducks](https://rivo.markets/markets/stanley-cup-odds/anaheim-ducks): 3%
- [New York Rangers](https://rivo.markets/markets/stanley-cup-odds/new-york-rangers): 3%
- [Toronto Maple Leafs](https://rivo.markets/markets/stanley-cup-odds/toronto-maple-leafs): 3%
- [Boston Bruins](https://rivo.markets/markets/stanley-cup-odds/boston-bruins): 3%
- [Buffalo Sabres](https://rivo.markets/markets/stanley-cup-odds/buffalo-sabres): 3%
- [Los Angeles Kings](https://rivo.markets/markets/stanley-cup-odds/los-angeles-kings): 2%
- [Pittsburgh Penguins](https://rivo.markets/markets/stanley-cup-odds/pittsburgh-penguins): 2%
- [Columbus Blue Jackets](https://rivo.markets/markets/stanley-cup-odds/columbus-blue-jackets): 2%
- [Winnipeg Jets](https://rivo.markets/markets/stanley-cup-odds/winnipeg-jets): 1%
- [Seattle Kraken](https://rivo.markets/markets/stanley-cup-odds/seattle-kraken): 1%
- [Vancouver Canucks](https://rivo.markets/markets/stanley-cup-odds/vancouver-canucks): 1%
- [Nashville Predators](https://rivo.markets/markets/stanley-cup-odds/nashville-predators): 1%
- [Chicago Blackhawks](https://rivo.markets/markets/stanley-cup-odds/chicago-blackhawks): 1%
- [Philadelphia Flyers](https://rivo.markets/markets/stanley-cup-odds/philadelphia-flyers): 1%
- [Calgary Flames](https://rivo.markets/markets/stanley-cup-odds/calgary-flames): 1%
- [Detroit Red Wings](https://rivo.markets/markets/stanley-cup-odds/detroit-red-wings): 1%
- [New York Islanders](https://rivo.markets/markets/stanley-cup-odds/new-york-islanders): 1%
- [St. Louis Blues](https://rivo.markets/markets/stanley-cup-odds/st-louis-blues): 1%

### [Fed Rate Decision Odds](https://rivo.markets/markets/fed-rate-decision-odds)

What will the Fed decide at its October 2026 meeting? Priced on Kalshi, Polymarket, Polymarket US and Gemini; settles 2026-10-28.

- [No change](https://rivo.markets/markets/fed-rate-decision-odds/no-change): 76%
- [Hike 25 bps](https://rivo.markets/markets/fed-rate-decision-odds/hike-25-bps): 24%
- [Hike 50+ bps](https://rivo.markets/markets/fed-rate-decision-odds/hike-50-bps): 1%
- [Cut 50+ bps](https://rivo.markets/markets/fed-rate-decision-odds/cut-50-bps): 1%
- [Cut 25 bps](https://rivo.markets/markets/fed-rate-decision-odds/cut-25-bps): 1%

### [House Control Odds 2026](https://rivo.markets/markets/house-control-2026)

Which party will win the House in 2026? Priced on Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US; settles 2026-11-03.

- [Democrats](https://rivo.markets/markets/house-control-2026/democrats): 90%
- [Republicans](https://rivo.markets/markets/house-control-2026/republicans): 10%

### [Senate Control Odds 2026](https://rivo.markets/markets/senate-control-2026)

Which party will win the Senate in 2026? Priced on Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US; settles 2026-11-03.

- [Democrats](https://rivo.markets/markets/senate-control-2026/democrats): 62%
- [Republicans](https://rivo.markets/markets/senate-control-2026/republicans): 38%

### [Bitcoin Price Prediction for the End of 2026](https://rivo.markets/markets/bitcoin-price-end-of-year)

Where will Bitcoin close 2026? Priced on Kalshi and Polymarket US; settles 2027-01-01.

- [$80,000 to $85,000](https://rivo.markets/markets/bitcoin-price-end-of-year/80000-to-85000): 15%
- [$75,000 to $80,000](https://rivo.markets/markets/bitcoin-price-end-of-year/75000-to-80000): 13%
- [$85,000 to $90,000](https://rivo.markets/markets/bitcoin-price-end-of-year/85000-to-90000): 12%
- [$70,000 to $75,000](https://rivo.markets/markets/bitcoin-price-end-of-year/70000-to-75000): 10%
- [$90,000 to $95,000](https://rivo.markets/markets/bitcoin-price-end-of-year/90000-to-95000): 9%
- [$65,000 to $70,000](https://rivo.markets/markets/bitcoin-price-end-of-year/65000-to-70000): 7%
- [$95,000 to $100,000](https://rivo.markets/markets/bitcoin-price-end-of-year/95000-to-100000): 6%
- [$105,000 to $110,000](https://rivo.markets/markets/bitcoin-price-end-of-year/105000-to-110000): 5%
- [$100,000 to $105,000](https://rivo.markets/markets/bitcoin-price-end-of-year/100000-to-105000): 4%
- [$60,000 to $65,000](https://rivo.markets/markets/bitcoin-price-end-of-year/60000-to-65000): 3%
- [$110,000 to $115,000](https://rivo.markets/markets/bitcoin-price-end-of-year/110000-to-115000): 3%
- [$150,000 or above](https://rivo.markets/markets/bitcoin-price-end-of-year/150000-or-above): 2%
- [$55,000 to $60,000](https://rivo.markets/markets/bitcoin-price-end-of-year/55000-to-60000): 2%
- [$45,000 to $50,000](https://rivo.markets/markets/bitcoin-price-end-of-year/45000-to-50000): 2%
- [$35,000 to $40,000](https://rivo.markets/markets/bitcoin-price-end-of-year/35000-to-40000): 1%
- [$20,000 to $25,000](https://rivo.markets/markets/bitcoin-price-end-of-year/20000-to-25000): 1%
- [$50,000 to $55,000](https://rivo.markets/markets/bitcoin-price-end-of-year/50000-to-55000): 1%
- [$115,000 to $120,000](https://rivo.markets/markets/bitcoin-price-end-of-year/115000-to-120000): 1%
- [$145,000 to $150,000](https://rivo.markets/markets/bitcoin-price-end-of-year/145000-to-150000): 1%
- [$40,000 to $45,000](https://rivo.markets/markets/bitcoin-price-end-of-year/40000-to-45000): 1%
- [$120,000 to $125,000](https://rivo.markets/markets/bitcoin-price-end-of-year/120000-to-125000): 1%
- [$125,000 to $130,000](https://rivo.markets/markets/bitcoin-price-end-of-year/125000-to-130000): 1%
- [Below $20,000](https://rivo.markets/markets/bitcoin-price-end-of-year/below-20000): 1%
- [$30,000 to $35,000](https://rivo.markets/markets/bitcoin-price-end-of-year/30000-to-35000): 1%
- [$25,000 to $30,000](https://rivo.markets/markets/bitcoin-price-end-of-year/25000-to-30000): 1%
- [$130,000 to $135,000](https://rivo.markets/markets/bitcoin-price-end-of-year/130000-to-135000): 1%
- [$135,000 to $140,000](https://rivo.markets/markets/bitcoin-price-end-of-year/135000-to-140000): 1%
- [$140,000 to $145,000](https://rivo.markets/markets/bitcoin-price-end-of-year/140000-to-145000): 1%

## Leaderboards

- [Biggest prediction-market wins](https://rivo.markets/wins): The largest paper-PnL whale wins across every covered venue, updated as markets resolve.
- [Biggest prediction-market losses](https://rivo.markets/losses): The largest paper-PnL whale losses across every covered venue.
- [All-time wins leaderboard](https://rivo.markets/wins/all-time): Full ranked list of the largest whale wins on record.
- [All-time losses leaderboard](https://rivo.markets/losses/all-time): Full ranked list of the largest whale losses on record.

## Top traders

The 50 most profitable traders with a public record, ranked by the profit we computed from their settled trades, not a figure they reported. Every tracked trader has a profile at https://rivo.markets/trader/<venue>/<id>; the full ranking is at https://rivo.markets/traders.

- [joseph00677 on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0xcdcccd0f2d86e450d973da415ad2430e5cc7935a): 446 large trades tracked, 81 wins and 15 losses on settled markets, $7,584,183 net profit.
- [sparklingwater123 on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0x664ce9fb97ae1bbd538d7381b2f4e92dab16f49c): 156 large trades tracked, 68 wins and 7 losses on settled markets, $7,535,351 net profit.
- [DEEDDIT on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0x09b428f7c2b469786286214aa5c90dd9015f7320): 382 large trades tracked, 84 wins and 0 losses on settled markets, $7,424,290 net profit.
- [GRIMDRIP on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0x3f87d51f27ba6e19ec52aaeebb68559a839c742c): 184 large trades tracked, 91 wins and 0 losses on settled markets, $7,335,530 net profit.
- [vito3corleone on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0x34dd4a4b70eaf79a17878f7938263c801d4dfd83): 340 large trades tracked, 161 wins and 179 losses on settled markets, $6,553,714 net profit.
- [endlessFate on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0x5e4c3b5b81171e2ca4ab776ac0d6bba787f9dba2): 233 large trades tracked, 54 wins and 41 losses on settled markets, $6,505,875 net profit.
- [frostrizz on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0xbc11a64ab34a03a043fbe80598fa065ee87eeec6): 177 large trades tracked, 83 wins and 2 losses on settled markets, $6,128,927 net profit.
- [fishalive on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0xed64a7bf029040aa331abc87902434d815ef217d): 71 large trades tracked, 32 wins and 0 losses on settled markets, $6,115,829 net profit.
- [mintblade on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0x96cfcb0c30942cfcd1cdf76c7d408794d66b1acb): 264 large trades tracked, 98 wins and 0 losses on settled markets, $5,180,414 net profit.
- [00gringo00 on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0x51698a47f840a242abc2ca0351371c7ffac41842): 767 large trades tracked, 541 wins and 130 losses on settled markets, $5,100,444 net profit.
- [Len9311238 on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0x78b9ac44a6d7d7a076c14e0ad518b301b63c6b76): 294 large trades tracked, 100 wins and 0 losses on settled markets, $4,496,749 net profit.
- [sainttroplay on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0x9319a045cdd0c2180e5eb7ad44374383db9a6410): 181 large trades tracked, 154 wins and 27 losses on settled markets, $4,364,232 net profit.
- [KeyTransporter on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0x94f199fb7789f1aef7fff6b758d6b375100f4c7a): 281 large trades tracked, 96 wins and 4 losses on settled markets, $4,355,598 net profit.
- [kilian7kilian on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0x14c7111afa871fb215339f365043d7b2837b9ccf): 187 large trades tracked, 95 wins and 82 losses on settled markets, $4,014,353 net profit.
- [RepTrump on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0x863134d00841b2e200492805a01e1e2f5defaa53): 259 large trades tracked, 99 wins and 0 losses on settled markets, $3,461,886 net profit.
- [SPCEXBUYER on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0xcd30f4698c6f5f3829893e68e183a8e5ea18f316): 2,140 large trades tracked, 1402 wins and 680 losses on settled markets, $3,223,376 net profit.
- [gfjoigfsjoigsjoi on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0x36a3f17401e395ef4cb1b7f42bcdb8ab8e15fafb): 432 large trades tracked, 89 wins and 8 losses on settled markets, $3,035,723 net profit.
- [Kch-Temp on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0x924379a79c64b77ad5816ad362122a5f6228658e): 1,793 large trades tracked, 1414 wins and 365 losses on settled markets, $3,026,169 net profit.
- [reachingthesky on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0xefbc5fec8d7b0acdc8911bdd9a98d6964308f9a2): 129 large trades tracked, 33 wins and 31 losses on settled markets, $3,006,634 net profit.
- [alexmulti on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0xd0c042c08f755ff940249f62745e82d356345565): 204 large trades tracked, 99 wins and 1 losses on settled markets, $2,865,766 net profit.
- [Flaznorp on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0x821dab0565ebf5b327f51db06223fdcfe01acf16): 157,461 large trades tracked, 97096 wins and 58044 losses on settled markets, $2,620,051 net profit.
- [TheReturnOfDarthMaul on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0x3a8aa345d5db7ec5138298c8c4f4540259be7699): 2,376 large trades tracked, 1537 wins and 156 losses on settled markets, $2,617,254 net profit.
- [majorexploiter on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0x019782cab5d844f02bafb71f512758be78579f3c): 120 large trades tracked, 60 wins and 0 losses on settled markets, $2,576,407 net profit.
- [RandomGenius-190 on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0x033a07b3de5947eab4306676ad74eb546da30d50): 210 large trades tracked, 83 wins and 8 losses on settled markets, $2,574,844 net profit.
- [beachboy4 on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0xc2e7800b5af46e6093872b177b7a5e7f0563be51): 446 large trades tracked, 364 wins and 82 losses on settled markets, $2,445,354 net profit.
- [Theo4 on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0x56687bf447db6ffa42ffe2204a05edaa20f55839): 903 large trades tracked, 95 wins and 5 losses on settled markets, $2,436,298 net profit.
- [BreakTheBank on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0xf0318c32136c2db7fec88b84869aee6a1106c80c): 2,461 large trades tracked, 1251 wins and 1102 losses on settled markets, $2,356,427 net profit.
- [MumiaTriste on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0x1109da04152c38666464f5adb5d7c55618810b2c): 0 large trades tracked.
- [omnibus-076daa on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0x076daa87c4fe1a85402a9b6b8e0a866224388d4c): 26,565 large trades tracked, 13563 wins and 11995 losses on settled markets, $2,021,284 net profit.
- [RN1 on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0x2005d16a84ceefa912d4e380cd32e7ff827875ea): 374,266 large trades tracked, 181708 wins and 186588 losses on settled markets, $2,012,263 net profit.
- [0x361b16e3ddfe1d415d41008daac2631d94ab74fe on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0x361b16e3ddfe1d415d41008daac2631d94ab74fe): 603 large trades tracked, 439 wins and 164 losses on settled markets, $2,010,646 net profit.
- [ferrariChampions2026 on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0xfe787d2da716d60e8acff57fb87eb13cd4d10319): 57,975 large trades tracked, 31620 wins and 26005 losses on settled markets, $1,948,739 net profit.
- [0xd9670ea74384c1e1b9dc1e4267ffadaf4cdd140 on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0xd570e634aeb745d6501566dba5f81a555cc7e4f8): 1,025 large trades tracked, 688 wins and 334 losses on settled markets, $1,940,025 net profit.
- [asparagus2012 on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0x476e1322d1a412fa0325527b8c3bc5e707b1396d): 180 large trades tracked, 59 wins and 28 losses on settled markets, $1,900,324 net profit.
- [Inaccuratestake on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0xf8831548531d56ad6a4331493243c447a827cd1f): 600 large trades tracked, 85 wins and 4 losses on settled markets, $1,877,514 net profit.
- [totoro3miyazaki on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0x0f6f76ced62a911bccef92f50faaff143854d977): 478 large trades tracked, 275 wins and 176 losses on settled markets, $1,876,673 net profit.
- [mikatrade77 on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0x23786fdad0073692157c6d7dc81f281843a35fcb): 241 large trades tracked, 97 wins and 1 losses on settled markets, $1,654,349 net profit.
- [theowalcott on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0x7ad71d79a3bb90d0a87a06500fa0fe11663842aa): 1,290 large trades tracked, 709 wins and 536 losses on settled markets, $1,588,377 net profit.
- [0x7A3f9C2D8b41E6a570F2c93B1d4E8A on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0xc9a24fa249cf907c598544a4d46c077c1edf77d3): 633 large trades tracked, 473 wins and 136 losses on settled markets, $1,500,016 net profit.
- [Fredi9999 on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0x1f2dd6d473f3e824cd2f8a89d9c69fb96f6ad0cf): 1,100 large trades tracked, 99 wins and 1 losses on settled markets, $1,423,164 net profit.
- [Allezpapa on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0xe549581668a5751c1972d3ad2d1991d900bd2d54): 297 large trades tracked, 40 wins and 35 losses on settled markets, $1,342,560 net profit.
- [11vsldfdsgfkjgos on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0x397062018dfb77e855608fe23223592bc82c44ce): 545 large trades tracked, 383 wins and 107 losses on settled markets, $1,301,410 net profit.
- [BillyGating on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0x2dfa4e79eca44b7c774f40a45535adbc368a6f60): 458 large trades tracked, 339 wins and 119 losses on settled markets, $1,265,109 net profit.
- [walletmobile on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0xe9ad918c7678cd38b12603a762e638a5d1ee7091): 56 large trades tracked, 21 wins and 0 losses on settled markets, $1,207,285 net profit.
- [UpTheBlues on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0x2a69660046d7acc4ab204d7cc5ba78b0776cd2f7): 182,934 large trades tracked, 104389 wins and 73843 losses on settled markets, $1,172,789 net profit.
- [GoalLineGhost on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0x0346afae2603313d2bbee96b628536c8cbe352a5): 42,668 large trades tracked, 27442 wins and 14819 losses on settled markets, $1,165,806 net profit.
- [0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0x5966db1fe50763c9e3c014d756369bad07e1f804): 113 large trades tracked, 77 wins and 31 losses on settled markets, $1,103,539 net profit.
- [mentionmarket on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0xc3acf5878a03523d09a3ac859943445d7baeb964): 133 large trades tracked, 76 wins and 47 losses on settled markets, $1,098,440 net profit.
- [primm on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0xd38b71f3e8ed1af71983e5c309eac3dfa9b35029): 3,030 large trades tracked, 1506 wins and 1486 losses on settled markets, $1,086,164 net profit.
- [Nooserac on Polymarket](https://rivo.markets/trader/polymarket/0xf68a281980f8c13828e84e147e3822381d6e5b1b): 3,860 large trades tracked, 2139 wins and 1459 losses on settled markets, $1,065,708 net profit.

## Developer documentation

The API docs have their own files for models: https://rivo.markets/docs/llms.txt (an index of every page as Markdown) and https://rivo.markets/docs/llms-full.txt (the whole API reference in one file).

- [rivomarkets API](https://rivo.markets/docs): A REST API and live stream for prediction markets on Kalshi, Polymarket, Polymarket US and Gemini.
- [Quickstart](https://rivo.markets/docs/quickstart): Create an API key, then list trades, open a market and backtest an idea in three calls.
- [Authentication](https://rivo.markets/docs/authentication): Send your key as a bearer token. Scopes decide what it can change, and the account's subscription decides whether it works.
- [Core concepts](https://rivo.markets/docs/concepts): Every v2 route follows the same rules for responses, refs, cursors, filters, includes and units.
- [Venues](https://rivo.markets/docs/venues): The four venues the API covers, the value you pass for each, and which ones name their traders.
- [Errors](https://rivo.markets/docs/errors): Every failure returns an HTTP status and a stable error code to check.
- [Rate limits](https://rivo.markets/docs/rate-limits): Each key can make 120 requests a minute, read 50,000 trades a day and hold three streams open at once.
- [Streaming](https://rivo.markets/docs/streaming): The stream sends you trades and market moves the moment they land, over Server-Sent Events, with the same filters as the list routes.
- [Build with AI](https://rivo.markets/docs/build-with-ai): Give Claude, Cursor, Codex or any agent the whole API in one file, every page as Markdown, and a set of instructions to follow.
- [Migrate from v1](https://rivo.markets/docs/migrate-from-v1): v1 is deprecated and stops answering on December 14, 2026. This guide shows where each v1 route went and what to change.
- [GET /v2/trades](https://rivo.markets/docs/reference/list-trades): Lists whale trades from the last 30 days, newest or biggest first, with each trader's record and what other whales did.
- [GET /v2/positions](https://rivo.markets/docs/reference/list-positions): Lists what winning traders hold right now on markets that are still trading, biggest first.
- [GET /v2/moves](https://rivo.markets/docs/reference/list-moves): Lists what markets did over the last 24 hours: sharp price moves, changes of favorite and whales piling in.
- [GET /v2/stream](https://rivo.markets/docs/reference/stream): Pushes trades and market moves to you over one server-sent events connection, with the same filters as the listings.
- [GET /v2/markets](https://rivo.markets/docs/reference/list-markets): Searches and browses markets on every venue. It returns open markets by default, or the markets that settled in the last 30 days.
- [GET /v2/markets/{ref}](https://rivo.markets/docs/reference/get-market): Reads one market with every outcome's price, bid and ask. On request it adds the order book, the whales, the price history and the newest whale trades.
- [GET /v2/traders](https://rivo.markets/docs/reference/list-traders): Searches and ranks traders who were active in the last 30 days, over all time or over today, this week or this month.
- [GET /v2/traders/{ref}](https://rivo.markets/docs/reference/get-trader): Reads one trader's record overall, by category and by kind of market. On request it adds their positions, profit curve, habits and similar traders.
- [POST /v2/backtest](https://rivo.markets/docs/reference/backtest): Scores a signal or one trader on settled history at a sizing you choose. You can add a holdout check, a sweep or a breakdown.
- [POST /v2/paper-orders](https://rivo.markets/docs/reference/place-paper-order): Buys or sells one side of a market on paper. Rivo fills the order against the venue's live order book at the venue's real fee.
- [GET /v2/paper](https://rivo.markets/docs/reference/get-paper-account): Reads the paper account's totals and positions, from both hand trades and bots. On request it adds the paper orders you placed by hand.
- [GET /v2/bots](https://rivo.markets/docs/reference/list-bots): Lists every bot on the account: trader, signal and market bots, on paper and live.
- [POST /v2/bots](https://rivo.markets/docs/reference/create-bot): Starts a paper bot that copies a trader, runs a signal, or runs a price rule on one market.
- [GET /v2/bots/{id}](https://rivo.markets/docs/reference/get-bot): Reads one bot's settings, record and profit curve. On request it adds the bot's trades and how busy its trigger has been.
- [PATCH /v2/bots/{id}](https://rivo.markets/docs/reference/update-bot): Changes a paper bot's sizing, signal, rule, alerts or status.
- [DELETE /v2/bots/{id}](https://rivo.markets/docs/reference/delete-bot): Stops and removes a paper bot. Its open paper positions stay until they settle.

## Learn: Kalshi and Polymarket

- [Is Polymarket legit? How it works, who regulates it and where your money sits](https://rivo.markets/learn/is-polymarket-legit): Yes. Polymarket is a real prediction market with two separate products: a CFTC-regulated US exchange and an international crypto exchange. Here is how each one holds your money, settles your bets and handles disputes, with the full regulatory history.
- [How does Polymarket work? Shares, prices and payouts explained](https://rivo.markets/learn/how-does-polymarket-work): Polymarket sells shares in the outcome of real events. A share costs between 1 and 99 cents, the price is the market's odds, and a correct share pays $1. Worked trades, the order book, fees, resolution and the difference between Polymarket US and polymarket.com.
- [How to withdraw from Polymarket: steps, fees and how long it takes](https://rivo.markets/learn/how-to-withdraw-from-polymarket): On polymarket.com you withdraw crypto to any wallet, free and near instant. On Polymarket US you withdraw dollars to your debit card, bank account or by wire in one to four business days. Step by step for both, the rules behind held withdrawals and the cheapest route to your bank.
- [Polymarket fees explained: the formula, worked examples and rebates](https://rivo.markets/learn/polymarket-fees): Polymarket charges takers rate x shares x price x (1 - price) and pays makers a rebate. The rate runs from 0 to 0.07 by category on polymarket.com and sits at 0.0695 on Polymarket US. Full fee tables, rebates, builder fees, combo fees and how to pay less.
- [Can you parlay on Polymarket? How combos work and how to build one](https://rivo.markets/learn/polymarket-parlays): Yes. Polymarket calls parlays combos: several outcomes joined into one position paying $1 only if every leg wins. polymarket.com offers sports combos. Polymarket US offers 2 to 10 legs. Pricing math, the combo fee, void rules and a step-by-step build.
- [Is Kalshi legit? Regulation, where your money is held and the real complaints](https://rivo.markets/learn/is-kalshi-legit): Yes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange licensed since 2020, with its own regulated clearinghouse since 2024. Here is where your money sits, why Kalshi asks for your SSN, which complaints hold up and where Rivo fits.
- [How does Kalshi work? Contracts, prices and payouts explained](https://rivo.markets/learn/how-does-kalshi-work): Kalshi sells Yes and No contracts on real events. A contract usually costs 1 to 99 cents, the price reads as the odds, and a correct contract pays $1. Worked examples, the order book, fees, settlement and how the winners trade.
- [How to withdraw from Kalshi: every method, fees and how long it takes](https://rivo.markets/learn/how-to-withdraw-from-kalshi): Kalshi charges no withdrawal fee. Debit card withdrawals land within hours, crypto within about 30 minutes and bank transfers in a few business days. Every method step by step, the security hold rules and why a withdrawal gets stuck.
- [Kalshi fees explained: the formula, worked examples and maker fees](https://rivo.markets/learn/kalshi-fees): Kalshi charges takers 0.07 x contracts x price x (1 - price), rounded up to the cent. The most you pay is 1.75 cents a contract at 50 cents. Full fee tables from 1 to 99 cents, maker fees, rounding, deposit costs and how to pay less.
- [Can you parlay on Kalshi? How combos work and how to make one](https://rivo.markets/learn/kalshi-parlays): Yes. Kalshi calls parlays combos: two or more outcomes in one contract paying $1 only if every leg wins. Combos cover the NFL, college football, MLB, NHL, soccer, tennis, UFC, esports, stock indexes and crypto. Pricing math, fees, rules and a step-by-step build.
- [Kalshi review: fees, payouts, the app and the real complaints](https://rivo.markets/learn/kalshi-review): Kalshi is the best regulated prediction market for US traders. A full review of what you can trade, what a trade costs, how fast money moves, where your balance sits, the app, support and the complaints people post.
- [Polymarket review: is it worth it for US and international traders](https://rivo.markets/learn/polymarket-review): Polymarket is worth it. A full review of both products, the international crypto exchange at polymarket.com and the CFTC-regulated Polymarket US app: markets, fees with worked examples, deposits, payouts, safety, support and the real complaints.
- [Can you cash out early on Kalshi? How to sell mid game and what you get paid](https://rivo.markets/learn/how-to-cash-out-on-kalshi): Selling a Kalshi position early or mid game, step by step: what the order book pays you, the trading fee, worked examples, positions vs cash, how to set an auto cash out, when to sell and what a pending payout means.
- [What is slippage on Kalshi? Plus what volume and portfolio mean](https://rivo.markets/learn/kalshi-slippage): Slippage on Kalshi is the gap between the price you saw and the average price your order filled at. A worked order book example level by level, then what volume, open interest, portfolio, cash, bid, ask, limit order and market order mean on a Kalshi screen.
- [Kalshi taxes: how winnings are taxed and which forms you get](https://rivo.markets/learn/kalshi-taxes): Kalshi winnings are taxable in the US. Kalshi sends a 1099-INT for interest and a 1099-MISC for credits, and a yearly profit and loss statement for your trades. What the IRS has and has not said about event contracts, how losses work, and the same rules for Polymarket.
- [How to make money on Kalshi: six ways traders profit and the costs that decide it](https://rivo.markets/learn/how-to-make-money-on-kalshi): Traders make money on Kalshi by pricing events better than the market, copying traders with a winning record, trading price moves, resting orders and automating all of it. The live share of tracked traders in profit, the fee and slippage math, and a step by step plan.

## Learn: Bots

- [How to build a Polymarket trading bot without code](https://rivo.markets/learn/how-to-build-a-polymarket-trading-bot): A step-by-step walkthrough of building a Polymarket trading bot in Rivo: choosing a wallet or a signal as the trigger, reading the backtest, running it on paper, and what live means on Polymarket US versus Polymarket Global.
- [How to build a Kalshi trading bot without code](https://rivo.markets/learn/how-to-build-a-kalshi-trading-bot): A step-by-step walkthrough of building a Kalshi trading bot in Rivo: copying a named Kalshi trader or matching large trades by signal, reading the backtest, running it on paper, and going live through your own API key.
- [Paper trading a prediction market bot before going live](https://rivo.markets/learn/paper-trading-a-prediction-market-bot-before-going-live): Why every bot should earn a paper record first, how long to leave it there, what to read in the record before promoting it, and why paper results still do not promise live ones.
- [The best prediction market bots in 2026 by what you want them to do](https://rivo.markets/learn/best-prediction-market-bots-2026): A roundup of prediction market bots for Kalshi and Polymarket, sorted by the job: copying a trader, running a signal, sniping a price, or trading by hand faster. What each does, what it costs, and where Rivo fits.

## Learn: Copy trading

- [How to copy-trade Polymarket and Kalshi whales: a complete framework](https://rivo.markets/learn/how-to-copy-trade-polymarket-whales): A structured guide to identifying, evaluating, and copying large prediction-market bettors. Covers wallet selection, entry pricing, sizing, book depth, and the failure modes that destroy copy-trading returns.
- [Five mistakes that destroy copy-trading returns on Polymarket and Kalshi](https://rivo.markets/learn/five-mistakes-copy-traders-make): The five most damaging failure modes in prediction-market copy-trading, why each one looks reasonable in the moment, and the specific corrective behaviors that protect returns.
- [When to copy a whale and when to fade them: a decision framework](https://rivo.markets/learn/when-to-copy-a-whale-when-to-fade-them): A structured decision framework for evaluating whether a given whale entry should be copied, deferred, or faded, with criteria for each path and the specific signals that justify the more counterintuitive responses.
- [The best Polymarket traders to follow in 2026: a data-driven methodology](https://rivo.markets/learn/best-polymarket-traders-to-follow): How to identify the best Polymarket and Kalshi traders to copy. A complete methodology for ranking wallets by resolved PnL, category specialization, and entry-price discipline.
- [Polymarket copy-trading bots in 2026: how they work, what to use, what to avoid](https://rivo.markets/learn/polymarket-copy-trading-bots): A complete guide to Polymarket copy-trading bots. Compare signal bots, automated execution bots, and Telegram alert services. Understand the tradeoffs and pick the right tool for your strategy.
- [Copy-trading vs fading: two strategies for trading whale activity on Polymarket and Kalshi](https://rivo.markets/learn/copy-trading-vs-fading-prediction-markets): A detailed comparison of copy-trading and fading strategies on prediction markets. When to follow the whales, when to take the opposite side, and how to know which approach fits which trade.

## Learn: Whale stats

- [Are Polymarket whales profitable? An evidence-based analysis](https://rivo.markets/learn/are-polymarket-whales-profitable): A data-driven look at whether large bettors on Polymarket and Kalshi actually produce positive returns, what the structural features of the markets imply about whale edge, and how to weight wallets correctly for copy-trading.
- [Whale win rates by category: politics, sports, crypto, macro, and culture](https://rivo.markets/learn/win-rate-by-category): A category-level breakdown of where whale bettors produce the best resolved outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi, why each category rewards a different kind of trader, and what the data implies for copy-trading strategy.
- [Polymarket vs Kalshi whales](https://rivo.markets/learn/polymarket-vs-kalshi-whales): How the regulatory rails, trader composition, category mix, and trade-size distributions on Polymarket and Kalshi produce two different whale ecosystems, with data from resolved trades.
- [Does bet size predict trading success on prediction markets?](https://rivo.markets/learn/does-bet-size-predict-success): An evidence-based examination of whether larger bets on Polymarket and Kalshi reliably correspond to better resolved outcomes, with the data on what size actually filters and what it does not.
- [The biggest prediction-market wins of all time on Polymarket and Kalshi](https://rivo.markets/learn/biggest-wins-of-all-time): A ranked list of the largest paper-PnL wins recorded across Polymarket and Kalshi, with analysis of the trade structures that produce leaderboard-scale outcomes and the methodology used to score the rankings.
- [The biggest prediction-market losses of all time on Polymarket and Kalshi](https://rivo.markets/learn/biggest-losses-of-all-time): A ranked list of the largest paper-PnL losses recorded across Polymarket and Kalshi, with analysis of the trade structures that produce the worst outcomes and the lessons available to copy-traders willing to study them.
- [Where whales win the most: the structure of the biggest paying trades](https://rivo.markets/learn/where-whales-win-the-most): An analysis of the largest paying whale trades across Polymarket and Kalshi, the categorical concentration of outsized payouts, and the structural reasons certain markets produce leaderboard entries while others do not.
- [The markets where whales actually make money](https://rivo.markets/learn/the-markets-where-whales-make-money): An analysis of the categories and price ranges in which whale capital on Polymarket produces positive aggregate returns, with the structural reasons each pocket is profitable.

## Learn: Fundamentals

- [What is a whale on Polymarket and Kalshi?](https://rivo.markets/learn/what-is-a-whale-on-polymarket): A precise definition of the term whale in the prediction-market context, the size thresholds that separate whales from other participants, and how to evaluate the directional signal in a whale-sized trade.
- [How prediction-market resolution works on Polymarket and Kalshi](https://rivo.markets/learn/how-prediction-market-resolution-works): A detailed explanation of how contracts are resolved on Polymarket and Kalshi, including the UMA oracle, dispute mechanics, invalid resolutions, and what resolution timing means for copy-traders.
- [Reading prediction-market odds: prices, probabilities, payouts, and spreads](https://rivo.markets/learn/reading-prediction-market-odds): A complete reference for interpreting prediction-market prices on Polymarket and Kalshi, including the relationship between price and probability, payout math, fee structures, and how spread impacts copy-trading returns.
- [Is Polymarket legal in the United States? A 2026 regulatory primer](https://rivo.markets/learn/is-polymarket-legal-in-the-us): A current explanation of Polymarket's and Kalshi's U.S. regulatory structures, the CFTC's role in event contracts, and why venue eligibility must be checked market by market. Not legal advice.
- [What are prediction markets? How they work and how traders make money](https://rivo.markets/learn/what-are-prediction-markets): A prediction market is an exchange where you buy Yes or No contracts on real events. A contract costs 1 to 99 cents, the price is the market's odds, and the right side pays $1. Worked trades in cents and dollars, the order book, who runs each venue, fees, prediction markets vs sports betting and how to start.

## Methodology and definitions

Full reference: https://rivo.markets/methodology. The short version:

- The terminal is one live feed you can trade from with one click. Live lists trades from profitable traders with each trader's win rate and profit. Rivo ingests every market and every trade on its venues, so Market Moves and market alerts report fast moves as they happen: sharp price moves, flips of the favorite and whales piling into one side. Every market page shows both sides and who bought each.
- A repeating market (Bitcoin up in the next 15 minutes) shows its last 15 results, its streak and how often its side won from the current price at the current point.
- Past results do not guarantee future results. Rivo is not financial advice.
- In the API the whale tape holds trades above a size floor on Polymarket or Kalshi, whoever placed them. The traders feed holds any trade by an identified trader (a Polymarket wallet or a shared public Kalshi name).
- Each Polymarket trade is classified open, add, flip, trim or close against the wallet's holdings; Kalshi position context is not exposed by the venue and is recorded as unknown.
- Only recorded buys are scored. buy_yes wins on a yes resolution, buy_no on a no. Sells are recorded but carry no resolution and no PnL. Void markets are excluded from every rate.
- Paper PnL for a buy at price p with stake S is S / p minus S on a win and minus S on a loss, gross of fees, spread and slippage. Break-even win rate equals the entry price.
- Copy score is the Wilson lower bound (95%) of a trader's win rate over resolved trades in the last 90 days, times 100, graded A (60+), B (50+), C (40+), D. Fewer than five resolved trades means no grade.
- A backtest holdout scores the earlier two-thirds of the window and validates on the final third; a rule holds when the out-of-sample return is above zero.

## About

- [About Rivo](https://rivo.markets/about): What Rivo is, how the pipeline works, what the plan includes, who builds it, and contact (info@rivo.markets).
- [Landing page](https://rivo.markets/): Product overview and current call to action.
- [Learn library](https://rivo.markets/learn): The complete index of articles on prediction markets, copy-trading, and whale behavior.
- Brand note: Rivo Markets (rivo.markets) is a prediction market trading terminal. It ingests every market and every trade on Kalshi, Polymarket, Polymarket US and Gemini. It is unrelated to the Rivo loyalty platform at rivo.io.