rivomarkets
Kalshi

adaptive.halibut1224

+$1.8K
Tracked Trades
599
First Seen
Feb 8, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 20, 2026

adaptive.halibut1224 is a Kalshi trader with 599 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 55 wins and 94 losses on settled markets, $1.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points on Sep 20.

Win rate
37%
Return on settled
+14%
Money traded
$75.5K
Typical trade
$47
Copy score
30/100
Kalshi rank
#1,798

Profit over time

+$2.8K-$370
Feb 8Sep 19

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1657%21%+14 pts
20 to 40¢10628%10%-18 pts
40 to 60¢15251%45%-6 pts
60 to 80¢10669%79%+10 pts
Over 80¢7093%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1215021%-$77
$13 to $4715030%-$187
$47 to $10815045%-$339
$110 to $8.3K14955%+$2.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports2+$0

Side taken

Yes 75%25% No

If you had copied adaptive.halibut1224

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$2458
Profit
on $14700 staked
55-92
Record
37% win rate
-17%
Return
315 still open
Profit over time147 settled trades
+$82-$2.5K
Jun 22Sep 14
-$3.9K
Max drawdown
344% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.73×
Profit factor
$6.7K won vs $9.2K lost
-5.2 pts
Edge vs implied
37% won at 43¢ avg
Longest losing streak
25
Deepest drawdown
57 trades

By category

other147 settled-17%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

202 open positions worth $29.2K

The markets adaptive.halibut1224 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what adaptive.halibut1224 is holding

Recent positions

yes Arsenal,yes Both Teams To Score,yes America,yes Toluca,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Marseille
Sep 20, avg 48¢
BUYYES$1.4KOpen
yes Arsenal,yes Both Teams To Score,yes America,yes Toluca,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Marseille
Sep 19, avg 95¢
SELLNO$8.3KOpen
Michael Aswell wins
Sep 19, 15 fills, avg 56¢
BUYYES$367Open
See every position across 279 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Yadong Song wins
    $366 on Yes, Aug 29
    +$1.8K
  2. 2
    yes Arsenal,yes Both Teams To Score,yes America,yes Toluca,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Marseille
    $575 on Yes, Sep 17
    +$958
  3. 3
    New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: Seattle wins?
    $178 on Yes, Sep 10
    +$639
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes Arsenal,yes Both Teams To Score,yes America,yes Toluca,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Marseille3+$0
yes Minnesota,yes Iowa St.,yes Brown,yes Lehigh,yes Wisconsin,yes Kansas St.,yes Georgia,yes Clemson,yes East Tennessee St.,yes Villanova,yes Doo Ho Choi,yes Iwo Baraniewski,yes Edmen Shahbazyan,yes Gable Steveson,yes Alexandre Pantoja,yes Charles Jourdain2+$0
Will Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez win the Barrera Aguirre vs Reasco Gonzalez: W35 Sao Paulo Round of 32 match?9+$0
yes Oregon wins 1Q by over 6.5 points,yes Over 7.5 1Q points scored2+$0
yes Christian Duncan,yes Dricus Du Plessis,yes Seok Hyun Ko,yes Fatima Kline6+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 23Sep 20

Profit by month

Feb 2026-$49
Jun 2026-$257
Jul 2026+$270
Aug 2026+$1.5K
Sep 2026+$297

Similar Kalshi traders

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