rivomarkets
TradersLive dataStrategiesDevelopersLearnPricing
Launch terminal

Buyer's guide

Compare prediction market tools by what you actually need to do.

Trackers, research suites, backtesters and execution bots all call themselves prediction market tools. They answer different questions. This guide sorts them by workflow, says what to check in each category, and links to side-by-side comparisons.

Kalshi tools comparedWhat Rivo does

Written by Rivo, which is one of the products compared. Vendor facts are sourced and dated on each comparison.

Four categories, four questions

Start from the question you are trying to answer. Most disappointment with a tool comes from buying one category expecting another.

Rivo is a terminal that spans all four: tape, ranked traders, backtesting and paper strategies, and connected trading with live Autopilot on Kalshi and Polymarket US.
CategoryThe question it answersWhat good looks likeWhat it will not do
Whale trackerWhere is large money moving right now?Trade shown within seconds with market, side, size, entry price, and the trader where the venue exposes one. Exits filtered from entries.Tell you whether the trader is any good, or whether you can still get the price.
Research suiteWhich traders and markets are worth attention?Trader records scored on real settlements, leaderboards with distinct-market counts, market context, watchlists.Place an order or test a rule against history.
BacktesterWould this rule have made money?Replay against settled markets at a fixed stake, out-of-sample validation, losses shown next to wins, then a live paper track.Guarantee the fill. Paper results are gross of fees and slippage.
Execution botCan it trade for me while I sleep?Runs through your own account, per-trade and per-day caps, every action and every skip logged with a reason, kill switch.Know which trader to copy. That is the research and testing work upstream.

When a tracker is enough

If you already have an exchange interface open and want to know what is printing, a tracker is the right purchase. Judge it on latency, on whether exits are filtered from entries, and on identity. The identity point matters most on Kalshi: an anonymous large trade tells you a market moved, not whose position changed. A tracker that uses “whale” and “trader” interchangeably is hiding that difference. Rivo's Kalshi whale tracker and Polymarket whale tracker keep two lanes for exactly this reason: one for size, one for identified traders.

When you need research rather than more alerts

A leaderboard is a shortlist, not a decision. Before following anyone, you want the record behind the rank: how many trades settled, across how many distinct markets, at what entry prices, and how the record looks at a flat stake rather than the trader's bankroll. Profit rankings reward size; a flat-stake replay rewards accuracy. The methodology explains why Rivo grades traders on a confidence bound of their win rate rather than on dollars.

When testing is the whole point

A backtester is useful the moment you can state a rule: a venue, a price band, a size floor, a direction, a category. It should show the matched population, the settled denominator, the losses, and the sizing assumption, and it should validate out of sample. A tool that only shows selected winners is marketing. Rivo's backtester runs a holdout by default and keeps scoring a saved rule live as a paper strategy, so the historical number and the forward number sit next to each other.

When execution becomes the decision

Execution products divide into rule bots, which trade on conditions you write, and copy bots, which mirror an account. They are not interchangeable: a rule bot needs you to have a thesis; a copy bot needs you to have picked a trader. For either, the questions are the same. Does it run through your own account? Can you cap it per trade and per day? Is every action, including every skipped one, logged with a reason? Can you pause it in one click? Rivo's Kalshi Autopilot is a copy bot built to those answers, and it only runs on traders you have already followed and, ideally, run on paper.

Side-by-side comparisons

Each comparison is sourced from the vendors' own published pages, dated, and updated when their material changes.

  • Kalshi

    Best Kalshi trading tools

    Rivo, Kairos, Bot for Kalshi and WhaleTracks compared on price, venue coverage, trader identity, backtesting, paper trading, execution model, API access and custody.
    Read the comparison
  • Rivo

    What Rivo covers on each venue

    The $15/month plan by workflow and venue: research, manual trading, backtesting and paper strategies, live Autopilot on Kalshi and Polymarket US, and API and MCP access.
    See the capability table

How these comparisons are written

Rivo publishes this guide and is one of the products in it, so read it as a vendor's guide with its sources shown. Every feature and price attributed to another product links to the page it came from, with the date it was reviewed. Published capabilities are not independently measured latency, reliability or profitability results, for any product including ours. Where a vendor page does not establish something, the comparison says so rather than guessing. If you find an error, email info@rivo.markets with the page and the source and it will be corrected.

Frequently asked questions

What is the difference between a whale tracker and a copy trading bot?

A whale tracker shows you large trades as they happen, with whatever identity and context the venue exposes. A copy trading bot places orders in your account when a trader you chose makes a trade. The first is information; the second is execution. Most products do one; a terminal like Rivo does both and adds the testing step in between.

Do I need a backtester if I only copy one trader?

Yes, because the question is not whether the trader is profitable but whether copying them at your size and your entry delay would have been. A flat-stake replay of their record answers that directly. Rivo runs it on every trader profile by default.

Is a free tracker good enough?

For discovery, often. Free trackers typically show the trade but not the trader's history, do not score outcomes, and do not let you test a rule. If you plan to act on what you see, the paid layer is the part that tells you whether you should.

Which tools cover Kalshi?

Fewer than cover Polymarket. Kalshi is a regulated US exchange with an API-key model rather than a wallet model, so tools need a separate integration. Rivo, Kairos, Bot for Kalshi and WhaleTracks all cover it in different ways; the Kalshi comparison sets them side by side.

What should I check before connecting an account to any tool?

Where funds sit, how credentials are stored and revoked, what caps you can set, what happens when an order is rejected, and whether every automated action is logged with a reason. A subscription price is easy to compare; those operating details decide whether you can sleep.

Try the terminal that covers all four.

Tape, ranked traders, backtesting and connected trading on Polymarket and Kalshi. $15/month, cancel anytime.

Get access

Related

  • Best Kalshi trading tools
    Rivo, Kairos, Bot for Kalshi and WhaleTracks compared on price, data, testing and execution.
  • Kalshi whale tracker
    Live large trades on Kalshi with the trader, market, side, size, and entry price attached.
  • Kalshi copy trading bot
    Mirror a Kalshi trader automatically through your own connected Kalshi key.
  • Strategy backtesting
    Score a rule against resolved Polymarket and Kalshi markets before you follow it.
rivomarkets

The premier prediction market trading setup. Track the sharpest traders on Polymarket and Kalshi, backtest your rules against settled markets, then copy or autopilot them from one terminal.

Launch terminal

Product

  • Alerts
  • Strategies
  • Autopilot
  • Pricing

Trackers

  • Kalshi whale tracker
  • Kalshi insider trading
  • Polymarket whale tracker
  • Polymarket insider trading
  • Polymarket smart money

Live data

  • Ranked traders
  • Biggest wins
  • Biggest losses
  • Learn
  • Research
  • Methodology
  • Compare tools
  • About Rivo

Developers

  • API overview
  • Documentation
  • MCP server

RivoMarkets is an information and trading interface for third-party prediction markets. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, tax, or gambling advice. Trading involves risk of loss.

TermsPrivacyDisclaimer© 2026 RivoMarkets