rivomarkets

alfie16

+$2.9K
Tracked Trades
1,247
First Seen
Apr 1, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 20, 2026
Followers
17

alfie16 is a Kalshi trader with 1,247 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 21 wins and 125 losses on settled markets, $2.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Pittsburgh,yes Atlanta,yes Washington,yes New York Y,yes Seattle,yes Miami,yes Los Angeles D,yes Over 9.5 runs scored on Sep 20.

Win rate
14%
Return on settled
+251%
Money traded
$37.3K
Typical trade
$9
Copy score
11/100
Kalshi rank
#1,458

Profit over time

+$3.0K-$624
Apr 18Sep 19

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢9714%8%+5 pts
20 to 40¢13830%46%+16 pts
40 to 60¢7248%0%-48 pts
60 to 80¢2568%
Over 80¢4194%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $531221%-$45
$5 to $93128%-$129
$9 to $123126%+$1.0K
$12 to $4.3K31116%+$2.0K

Side taken

Yes 87%13% No

If you had copied alfie16

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$33940
Profit
on $11100 staked
18-93
Record
16% win rate
+306%
Return
626 still open
Profit over time111 settled trades
+$33.9K-$4.7K
Jun 22Sep 14
-$5.0K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
6.8×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
4.65×
Profit factor
$43.2K won vs $9.3K lost
+7.0 pts
Edge vs implied
16% won at 9¢ avg
Longest losing streak
47
Deepest drawdown
68 trades

By category

other111 settled+306%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

531 open positions worth $5.4K

The markets alfie16 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what alfie16 is holding

Recent positions

yes Pittsburgh,yes Atlanta,yes Washington,yes New York Y,yes Seattle,yes Miami,yes Los Angeles D,yes Over 9.5 runs scored
Sep 20, avg 13¢
BUYYES$24Open
yes Arsenal,yes Both Teams To Score,yes America,yes Toluca,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Marseille
Sep 20, avg 86¢
SELLNO$4.3KOpen
yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Dallas,yes Minnesota,yes Saint Louis,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored
Sep 19, avg 1¢
BUYYES$9Open
See every position across 939 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Pittsburgh,yes Los Angeles D,yes Tampa Bay,yes San Diego,yes Houston,yes Philadelphia,yes Chicago WS,yes Boston,yes Los Angeles A
    $15 on Yes, Sep 17
    +$2.1K
  2. 2
    yes Los Angeles D,yes San Diego,yes Houston,yes Philadelphia,yes Chicago WS,yes Boston,yes Los Angeles A,yes Over 7.5 runs scored,yes Over 6.5 runs scored
    $9 on Yes, Sep 17
    +$1.3K
  3. 3
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $27 on Yes, Sep 16
    +$271
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes Arsenal,yes Both Teams To Score,yes America,yes Toluca,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Marseille5+$0
BTC price up in next 15 mins?30035%+$245
yes Chicago WS,yes Los Angeles D,yes Toronto,yes Baltimore,yes Chicago C,yes New York Y,yes San Francisco,yes Los Angeles A,yes Miami,yes Over 9.5 runs scored2+$0
yes Miami,yes New York Y,yes Atlanta,yes Chicago WS,yes Texas,yes Arizona,yes Milwaukee,yes Tampa Bay,yes Over 6.5 runs scored,yes Over 6.5 runs scored,yes Over 4.5 runs scored,yes Over 6.5 runs scored2+$0
yes Baltimore,yes New York Y,yes Los Angeles A,yes Over 8.5 runs scored,yes Over 7.5 runs scored,yes Over 7.5 runs scored,yes Over 4.5 runs scored,yes Over 13.5 runs scored,yes Over 5.5 runs scored,yes Over 6.5 runs scored2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 23Sep 20

Profit by month

Apr 2026-$113
May 2026-$110
Jun 2026-$24
Jul 2026-$39
Aug 2026-$252
Sep 2026+$3.4K

Similar Kalshi traders

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Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.