rivomarkets
Kalshi

aosurdaddy

+$4.2K
Tracked Trades
666
First Seen
Dec 21, 2025
Last Trade
Sep 13, 2026
Followers
4

aosurdaddy is a Kalshi trader with 666 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 24 wins and 59 losses on settled markets, $4.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Christian Watson: 7+,yes Justin Jefferson: 9+,yes Matthew Golden: 40+,yes Justin Jefferson: 100+,yes Aaron Jones Sr.: 30+,yes Jordan Mason: 30+ on Sep 13.

Win rate
29%
Return on settled
+80%
Money traded
$43.2K
Typical trade
$39
Copy score
12/100
Kalshi rank
#1,228

Profit over time

+$4.2K-$113
Dec 24Sep 13

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4334%13%+9 pts
20 to 40¢9328%42%+13 pts
40 to 60¢11450%50%+0 pts
60 to 80¢2365%50%-15 pts
Over 80¢392%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1416712%+$86
$14 to $391676%+$84
$39 to $8716638%+$3.7K
$88 to $3.4K16646%+$260

Side taken

Yes 85%15% No

If you had copied aosurdaddy

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$7311
Profit
on $900 staked
3-6
Record
33% win rate
+812%
Return
68 still open
Profit over time9 settled trades
+$7.3K-$81
Jun 22Sep 7

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 9 so far.

By category

other9 settled+812%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

68 open positions worth $9.7K

The markets aosurdaddy is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what aosurdaddy is holding

Recent positions

yes Christian Watson: 7+,yes Justin Jefferson: 9+,yes Matthew Golden: 40+,yes Justin Jefferson: 100+,yes Aaron Jones Sr.: 30+,yes Jordan Mason: 30+
Sep 13, avg 2¢
BUYYES$47-$47
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 13, avg 94¢
SELLNO$3.4KOpen
yes Pittsburgh,yes Buffalo,yes Chicago,yes Jacksonville,yes New York J,yes Over 47.5 points scored,yes Over 49.5 points scored,yes Over 50.5 points scored
Sep 13, avg 1¢
BUYYES$47+$3.6K
See every position across 488 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Pittsburgh,yes Buffalo,yes Chicago,yes Jacksonville,yes New York J,yes Over 47.5 points scored,yes Over 49.5 points scored,yes Over 50.5 points scored
    $47 on Yes, Sep 13
    +$3.6K
  2. 2
    Will Anthony Edwards win the 2026 All-Star MVP?
    $42 on Yes, Feb 15
    +$661
  3. 3
    Will Justin Gaethje win the Ilia Topuria vs. Justin Gaethje UFC Freedom 250 fight by KO/TKO/DQ?
    $94 on Yes, Jun 15
    +$538
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points1+$0
Will the Charlotte win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?30%-$47
yes Reg Time: Both Teams To Score,no Goal Diff Reg Time: England wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes England: 6+,yes Norway: 4+2+$0
Will California Baptist be the Western Athletic tournament champions?4100%+$528
Will Conor McGregor win the Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway professional MMA fight scheduled for Jul 11, 2026?3+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 16Sep 13

Profit by month

Dec 2025-$109
Jan 2026-$5
Feb 2026+$862
Mar 2026-$111
Apr 2026-$691
May 2026+$12
Jun 2026+$661
Jul 2026+$124
Sep 2026+$3.4K

Similar Kalshi traders

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Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.

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