rivomarkets

arbfather615

+$44.9K
Tracked Trades
2,425
First Seen
Jul 30, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 19, 2026
Followers
145

arbfather615 is a Kalshi trader with 2,425 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 1326 wins and 792 losses on settled markets, $44.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Ohio St. wins by over 51.5 points on Sep 19.

Win rate
63%
Return on settled
+31%
Money traded
$238.8K
Typical trade
$18
Copy score
61/100
Kalshi rank
#203

Profit over time

+$50.8K-$5
Jul 30Sep 19

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢16311%3%-8 pts
20 to 40¢23332%23%-9 pts
40 to 60¢68646%66%+20 pts
60 to 80¢42270%59%-11 pts
Over 80¢83489%92%+2 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $558558%-$8
$5 to $1858561%+$711
$18 to $7958466%+$537
$79 to $23K58469%+$46.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports14100%+$787
Finance1100%+$15
Culture20%-$1.3K

Side taken

Yes 25%75% No

If you had copied arbfather615

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$8863
Profit
on $205700 staked
1305-752
Record
63% win rate
+4%
Return
275 still open
Profit over time2057 settled trades
+$25.9K+$0
Jul 27Sep 14
-$26.4K
Max drawdown
96% below peak
0.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.12×
Profit factor
$84.1K won vs $75.2K lost
+3.7 pts
Edge vs implied
63% won at 60¢ avg
Longest losing streak
103
Deepest drawdown
955 trades

By category

sports7 settled+16%
other2047 settled+4%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

55 open positions worth $93.0K

The markets arbfather615 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what arbfather615 is holding

Recent positions

Ohio St. wins by over 51.5 points
Sep 19, avg 41¢
BUYYES$96+$138
North Carolina wins 1H by over 13.5 points
Sep 19, 8 fills, avg 38¢
BUYNO$90Open
Over 51.5 points scored
Sep 19, 3 fills, avg 45¢
BUYYES$193Open
See every position across 300 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    KXUFCMOV-26AUG29LIUROD-RODSUB
    $2.9K on No, Aug 29
    +$45.1K
  2. 2
    New York G wins by over 13.5 points?
    $15.1K on No, Sep 14
    +$3.1K
  3. 3
    Washington wins by over 13.5 points
    $1.4K on No, Sep 12
    +$2.0K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Will Emma Navarro win the US Open Women's Singles?2+$0
New York G wins by over 13.5 points?152100%+$3.5K
Will Karen Khachanov win the US Open Men's Singles?5+$0
Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers86+$0
Will Arthur Fils win the US Open Men's Singles?8+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 22Sep 19

Profit by month

Jul 2026+$1.1K
Aug 2026+$48.9K
Sep 2026-$2.3K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy arbfather615 on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.