rivomarkets

BadMr.Frosty

badmr.frosty

+$42.7K
Tracked Trades
7,685
First Seen
Aug 13, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 19, 2026
Followers
329

BadMr.Frosty is a Kalshi trader with 7,685 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 405 wins and 382 losses on settled markets, $42.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Cleveland wins on Sep 19.

Win rate
51%
Return on settled
+28%
Money traded
$1.1M
Typical trade
$19
Copy score
48/100
Kalshi rank
#210

Profit over time

+$42.9K-$12.3K
Aug 13Sep 19

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢22015%15%+0 pts
20 to 40¢108632%28%-4 pts
40 to 60¢406650%43%-7 pts
60 to 80¢208868%83%+15 pts
Over 80¢16184%80%-4 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $5190651%-$50
$5 to $19190552%-$156
$19 to $72190544%-$831
$72 to $11K190559%+$43.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports19862%+$11.6K
Culture3933%-$3.7K
Politics2100%+$2.1K

Side taken

Yes 80%20% No

If you had copied BadMr.Frosty

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$2042
Profit
on $77300 staked
403-370
Record
52% win rate
-3%
Return
76 still open
Profit over time773 settled trades
+$0-$7.6K
Aug 10Sep 14
-$9.2K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.94×
Profit factor
$35.0K won vs $37.0K lost
+0.9 pts
Edge vs implied
52% won at 51¢ avg
Longest losing streak
30
Deepest drawdown
400 trades

By category

sports26 settled+25%
other739 settled-3%
culture6 settled-36%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

11 open positions worth $4.5K

The markets BadMr.Frosty is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what BadMr.Frosty is holding

Recent positions

Cleveland wins
Sep 19, 2 fills, avg 38¢
BUYNO$89-$89
A's wins
Sep 19, 22 fills, avg 38¢
SELLYES$613Open
Milwaukee wins by over 1.5 runs?
Sep 19, avg 61¢
BUYNO$1.3KOpen
See every position across 674 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26AUG21MATTAR-MAT
    $5.6K on No, Aug 21
    +$12.4K
  2. 2
    KXLOLGAME-26AUG261100BCEFSK-BCE
    $2.0K on No, Aug 26
    +$9.2K
  3. 3
    Los Angeles A wins
    $3.2K on No, Aug 30
    +$7.2K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Over 8.5 runs scored42344%-$997
Will Jessica Pegula win the Waltert vs Pegula: Round Of 64 match?18+$0
Over 7.5 runs scored24760%-$908
New York Y wins136100%+$1.0K
Frances Tiafoe wins130+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 22Sep 19

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$28.8K
Sep 2026+$13.6K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy BadMr.Frosty on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.