rivomarkets
Kalshi

baguti1104

+$90
Tracked Trades
325
First Seen
Apr 18, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 20, 2026

baguti1104 is a Kalshi trader with 325 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 4 wins and 22 losses on settled markets, $90 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Colorado,yes Houston,yes Nashville,yes Vancouver,yes Philadelphia,yes Portland wins by more than 1.5 goals on Sep 20.

Win rate
15%
Return on settled
+14%
Money traded
$18.3K
Typical trade
$24
Copy score
2/100
Kalshi rank
#2,792

Profit over time

+$200-$203
Apr 18Sep 20

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2497%9%+2 pts
20 to 40¢4326%0%-26 pts
40 to 60¢747%100%+53 pts
60 to 80¢1271%
Over 80¢1489%0%-89 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$1 to $148223%+$543
$14 to $248114%-$88
$24 to $47810%-$160
$47 to $1.1K810%-$205

Side taken

Yes 92%8% No

If you had copied baguti1104

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$2485
Profit
on $2300 staked
2-21
Record
9% win rate
+108%
Return
244 still open
Profit over time23 settled trades
+$2.5K-$200
Jun 22Sep 14
-$1.3K
Max drawdown
89% below peak
1.9×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.18×
Profit factor
$4.6K won vs $2.1K lost
+2.3 pts
Edge vs implied
9% won at 6¢ avg
Longest losing streak
13
Deepest drawdown
13 trades

By category

other23 settled+108%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

236 open positions worth $8.2K

The markets baguti1104 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what baguti1104 is holding

Recent positions

yes Colorado,yes Houston,yes Nashville,yes Vancouver,yes Philadelphia,yes Portland wins by more than 1.5 goals
Sep 20, avg 7¢
BUYYES$8-$8
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 20, avg 83¢
SELLNO$1.1KOpen
yes New England,yes Chicago Fire,yes Vancouver,yes Saint Louis,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored
Sep 19, avg 2¢
BUYYES$8-$8
See every position across 287 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Dortmund,yes Barcelona wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Le Mans,yes Lyon,yes Lazio
    $14 on Yes, Sep 19
    +$403
  2. 2
    yes America,yes Tigres,yes Leon,yes Toluca
    $14 on Yes, Aug 22
    +$228
  3. 3
    Houston at Los Angeles L Winner?
    $18 on Yes, Apr 19
    +$18
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points3+$0
yes Both Teams To Score,yes Mexico,yes Switzerland,yes Morocco wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Brazil wins by more than 1.5 goals2+$0
yes Argentina advances,yes Reg Time: Spain,yes Reg Time: England2+$0
yes Barcelona,yes Juventus,yes Sevilla,yes Sporting CP2+$0
yes Rosario,yes Columbus,yes Tie2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 23Sep 20

Profit by month

Apr 2026+$19
Jun 2026-$140
Aug 2026+$134
Sep 2026+$78

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