cautious.carp5617
+$19.9K
- Tracked Trades
- 690
- First Seen
- Aug 28, 2026
- Last Trade
- Aug 29, 2026
cautious.carp5617 is a Kalshi trader with 690 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 196 wins and 124 losses on settled markets, $19.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Ann Li wins on Aug 29.
- Win rate
- 61%
- Return on settled
- +24%
- Money traded
- $129.0K
- Typical trade
- $16
- Copy score
- 56/100
- Kalshi rank
- #406
Profit over time
+$27.1K-$830
Aug 28Aug 28
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1346%33%+27 pts
20 to 40¢11832%42%+10 pts
40 to 60¢25550%56%+5 pts
60 to 80¢5665%77%+12 pts
Over 80¢12797%97%+0 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $317355%-$12
$3 to $1617360%+$53
$17 to $12017270%+$637
$124 to $4.9K17259%+$19.2K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Culture2872%+$13.2K
Sports1167%+$3.9K
Crypto1175%+$4.5K
Side taken
Yes 56%44% No
If you had copied cautious.carp5617
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$6124
Profit
on $32000 staked
196-124
Record
61% win rate
+19%
Return
-$5.5K
Max drawdown
107% below peak
1.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.49×
Profit factor
$18.5K won vs $12.4K lost
+7.1 pts
Edge vs implied
61% won at 54¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 29
- Deepest drawdown
- 83 trades
By category
crypto8 settled+130%
culture18 settled+114%
sports9 settled+22%
other285 settled+10%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
Ann Li wins
Aug 29, avg 8¢
Ignacio Buse wins
Aug 28, avg 77¢
Cincinnati wins
Aug 28, avg 93¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$11.3KWTI Oil price up in next 15 mins?$1.9K on No, Aug 28
- 2+$4.4KWTI Oil price up in next 15 mins?$958 on No, Aug 28
- 3+$3.9KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$528 on No, Aug 28
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
Gold price up in next 15 mins?22877%+$1.5K
WTI Oil price up in next 15 mins?8673%+$12.5K
BTC price up in next 15 mins?3694%+$6.2K
Cezar Cretu (b. 2001) wins2100%+$3.6K
Nikolai Barsukov wins160%-$948
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 1Aug 29
Profit by month
Aug 2026+$19.9K
Similar Kalshi traders
Copy cautious.carp5617 on autopilot or by hand.
Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.