rivomarkets
Kalshi

chain.thread

+$1.5K
Tracked Trades
913
First Seen
Dec 20, 2025
Last Trade
Sep 19, 2026
Followers
4

chain.thread is a Kalshi trader with 913 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 7 wins and 119 losses on settled markets, $1.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Parlay: Milwaukee + Atlanta + Seattle + Minnesota + New York Y + Los Angeles D + Not Over 9.5 runs scored on Sep 19.

Win rate
6%
Return on settled
+70%
Money traded
$78.2K
Typical trade
$12
Copy score
2/100
Kalshi rank
#1,863

Profit over time

+$1.5K-$68
Dec 20Sep 18

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢6784%3%+0 pts
20 to 40¢7029%100%+71 pts
40 to 60¢5349%0%-49 pts
60 to 80¢3771%
Over 80¢7594%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $82296%-$109
$8 to $122280%-$492
$12 to $2922814%+$1.7K
$30 to $5.1K2288%+$400

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports3+$0

Side taken

Yes 81%19% No

If you had copied chain.thread

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$2209
Profit
on $12300 staked
6-117
Record
5% win rate
-18%
Return
652 still open
Profit over time123 settled trades
+$0-$8.1K
Jun 22Sep 14
-$8.1K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.81×
Profit factor
$9.5K won vs $11.7K lost
+2.0 pts
Edge vs implied
5% won at 3¢ avg
Longest losing streak
75
Deepest drawdown
106 trades

By category

other123 settled-18%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

558 open positions worth $13.0K

The markets chain.thread is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what chain.thread is holding

Recent positions

Parlay: Milwaukee + Atlanta + Seattle + Minnesota + New York Y + Los Angeles D + Not Over 9.5 runs scored
Sep 19, avg 61¢
SELLNO$541Open
Parlay: Bayern Munich wins by more than 2.5 goals + Baltimore + Texas + Atlanta + Colorado + Washington + Over 4.5 runs scored + Indiana + Golden State
Sep 19, avg 86¢
SELLNO$675Open
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 18, avg 55¢
SELLNO$1.5KOpen
See every position across 677 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Los Angeles D,yes New York Y,yes San Diego,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,no Over 12.5 runs scored,no Over 11.5 runs scored,no Over 12.5 runs scored,yes Over 6.5 runs scored,no Over 11.5 runs scored,no Over 12.5 runs scored,yes Kansas City,no Bo Nix: 3+,no Patrick Mahomes: 3+,no Bo Nix: 4+,yes Patrick Mahomes: 1+,no Bo Nix: 350+,yes Patrick Mahomes: 150+,no Patrick Mahomes: 30+
    $28 on Yes, Sep 14
    +$1.1K
  2. 2
    yes Argentina,yes France,yes Norway
    $373 on Yes, Jun 22
    +$1.0K
  3. 3
    yes Houston,yes Philadelphia,yes Chicago WS,yes Boston,yes Los Angeles A,yes Buffalo
    $23 on Yes, Sep 17
    +$827
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes San Francisco,yes Pittsburgh,yes Buffalo,yes Carolina,yes Miami,yes Detroit,yes New York J,yes Philadelphia2+$0
yes Ivory Coast,yes Japan,yes Netherlands,yes USA,yes France,yes Belgium,yes Spain,yes Portugal,yes Croatia,yes England2+$0
yes Detroit,yes New York Y,yes Baltimore,yes Cincinnati,yes Cleveland,yes Tampa Bay,yes Boston,yes Chicago WS,yes Texas,yes Minnesota,yes Atlanta,yes San Diego,yes Los Angeles D,yes San Francisco2+$0
yes Pete Alonso: 1+,yes Pete Crow-Armstrong: 1+,yes Freddie Freeman: 1+2+$0
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 22Sep 19

Profit by month

Dec 2025-$68
Jun 2026+$1.0K
Jul 2026-$111
Aug 2026-$426
Sep 2026+$1.1K

Similar Kalshi traders

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