chancepicks
+$1.5K
- Tracked Trades
- 23
- First Seen
- Aug 20, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 1, 2026
- Followers
- 15
chancepicks is a Kalshi trader with 23 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 11 wins and 6 losses on settled markets, $1.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Virtus.pro wins on Sep 1.
- Win rate
- 65%
- Return on settled
- +14%
- Money traded
- $15.0K
- Typical trade
- $620
- Copy score
- 41/100
- Kalshi rank
- #1,863
Profit over time
+$2.0K-$119
Aug 20Sep 1
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢118%
20 to 40¢139%
40 to 60¢956%57%+1 pts
60 to 80¢1066%70%+4 pts
Over 80¢285%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$290 to $545660%+$30
$548 to $620633%-$894
$690 to $769660%-$174
$786 to $1.1K5100%+$2.6K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Sports775%+$1.4K
Culture683%+$901
Crypto2100%+$778
Side taken
Yes 91%9% No
If you had copied chancepicks
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$81
Profit
on $1700 staked
11-6
Record
65% win rate
+5%
Return
+$81-$95
Aug 17Aug 31
Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 17 so far.
By category
culture6 settled+27%
other6 settled-43%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
Virtus.pro wins
Sep 1, avg 63¢
KT Rolster wins map 1
Sep 1, 2 fills, avg 54¢
Baltimore wins
Sep 1, avg 59¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$778BTC price up in next 15 mins?$1.1K on Yes, Aug 31
- 2+$712Portland vs Austin Winner?$870 on Yes, Aug 30
- 3+$611Baltimore wins$879 on Yes, Sep 1
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?1100%+$778
KT Rolster wins map 12+$0
Baltimore wins1100%+$611
KXCS2MAP-26AUG310730AURG2-2-G21+$0
Portland vs Austin Winner?1100%+$712
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 4Sep 1
Profit by month
Aug 2026+$1.3K
Sep 2026+$239
Similar Kalshi traders
Copy chancepicks on autopilot or by hand.
Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.