rivomarkets
Kalshi

Clay432420

clay432420

+$446
Tracked Trades
1,001
First Seen
Aug 15, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 21, 2026

Clay432420 is a Kalshi trader with 1,001 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 56 wins and 152 losses on settled markets, $446 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points on Sep 21.

Win rate
27%
Return on settled
+74%
Money traded
$6.8K
Typical trade
$3
Copy score
21/100
Kalshi rank
#2,483

Profit over time

+$518-$197
Aug 15Sep 21

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢6674%3%+0 pts
20 to 40¢11529%31%+1 pts
40 to 60¢9550%50%+0 pts
60 to 80¢2868%89%+21 pts
Over 80¢9688%83%-5 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $225127%+$708
$2 to $325025%-$57
$3 to $525031%-$94
$5 to $1.3K25023%-$110

Side taken

Yes 81%19% No

If you had copied Clay432420

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$69318
Profit
on $20800 staked
56-152
Record
27% win rate
+333%
Return
692 still open
Profit over time208 settled trades
+$69.8K-$3.0K
Aug 10Sep 21
-$5.6K
Max drawdown
189324% below peak
12.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
5.56×
Profit factor
$84.5K won vs $15.2K lost
+0.6 pts
Edge vs implied
27% won at 26¢ avg
Longest losing streak
34
Deepest drawdown
176 trades

By category

other208 settled+333%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

650 open positions worth $2.2K

The markets Clay432420 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Clay432420 is holding

Recent positions

yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 21, avg 91¢
SELLNO$1.3KOpen
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 21, avg 89¢
SELLNO$1.2KOpen
yes Brostrom Poulsen / Slavic,yes Ivarsson / Minasyan,yes Kiruthik Kalyaan Annur Senthil Kumar,yes Lorenzo Carboni,yes Arian Barbic,yes Sizya Ernest Kivanda,yes Sergey Betov,yes Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli,yes Henry Bernet,yes John Gabelic,yes Ilya Ignatov,yes Maurice-Noel Kaserer,yes Garrett Johns,yes Darsh Sachin Patel,yes Essa Qabazard,yes William Rejchtman Vinciguerra,yes Christian Sigsgaard,yes Nicola Senn,yes Eric Vanshelboim,yes Louis Van Herck,yes Iiro Vasa,yes Nicolas Ulrich,yes Lars Wagenaar,yes Edoardo Zanada,yes Diana-Ioana Simionescu,yes ISABELA DE MATTOS SILVA,yes Sofia Lucia Marquez,yes Anastasia Efremova,yes Olivia Elliott,yes Manuela Maia Citolino,yes Vitoria Beatriz Rodrigues Oliveira,yes Nina Rudiukova,yes Nellie Taraba Wallberg
Sep 21, avg 0¢
BUYYES$4-$4
See every position across 807 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Philadelphia,yes Pittsburgh,yes Cleveland,yes Tampa Bay,yes Chicago C,yes Atlanta,yes Chicago WS,yes St. Louis,yes Toronto,yes Seattle,yes Minnesota,yes San Diego,yes Arizona,yes Los Angeles D,yes Milwaukee
    $1 on Yes, Sep 20
    +$714
  2. 2
    yes Boston,yes Chicago C,yes Texas,yes Los Angeles D
    $3 on Yes, Sep 3
    +$30
  3. 3
    Will BTC trimmed mean be above $80000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026?
    $3 on Yes, Aug 20
    +$11
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points2+$0
BTC price up in next 15 mins?32245%-$8
yes Arizona,yes New York G,yes Minnesota,yes Las Vegas,yes Washington20%-$2
yes Atlanta,yes Houston,yes Seattle,yes Colorado,yes Pittsburgh,yes Miami (FL),yes Los Angeles R2+$0
yes Philadelphia,yes Pittsburgh,yes Cleveland,yes Tampa Bay,yes Chicago C,yes Atlanta,yes Chicago WS,yes St. Louis,yes Toronto,yes Seattle,yes Minnesota,yes San Diego,yes Arizona,yes Los Angeles D,yes Milwaukee2100%+$714

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 24Sep 21

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$73
Sep 2026+$519

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