rivomarkets

cool.moth2409

+$3.8K
Tracked Trades
985
First Seen
Aug 10, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 18, 2026
Followers
1

cool.moth2409 is a Kalshi trader with 985 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 159 wins and 307 losses on settled markets, $3.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Sep 18.

Win rate
34%
Return on settled
+20%
Money traded
$52.3K
Typical trade
$7
Copy score
30/100
Kalshi rank
#1,293

Profit over time

+$5.7K-$706
Aug 17Sep 18

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢44010%32%+22 pts
20 to 40¢37827%32%+5 pts
40 to 60¢7050%21%-29 pts
60 to 80¢4369%50%-19 pts
Over 80¢5485%100%+15 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $024734%+$2
$0 to $724645%+$362
$7 to $4424627%+$898
$45 to $1.7K24630%+$2.5K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Crypto15+$0

Side taken

Yes 45%55% No

If you had copied cool.moth2409

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$36094
Profit
on $46600 staked
159-307
Record
34% win rate
+77%
Return
342 still open
Profit over time466 settled trades
+$37.8K-$500
Aug 10Sep 14
-$8.3K
Max drawdown
21% below peak
4.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.18×
Profit factor
$66.8K won vs $30.7K lost
+8.4 pts
Edge vs implied
34% won at 26¢ avg
Longest losing streak
47
Deepest drawdown
113 trades

By category

other466 settled+77%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

24 open positions worth $5.6K

The markets cool.moth2409 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what cool.moth2409 is holding

Recent positions

BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 18, avg 56¢
SELLYES$549Open
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 18, avg 53¢
SELLNO$530Open
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 18, avg 77¢
SELLNO$770Open
See every position across 85 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $724 on Yes, Aug 24
    +$4.3K
  2. 2
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $377 on Yes, Sep 2
    +$2.8K
  3. 3
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $579 on Yes, Sep 15
    +$1.3K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?98534%+$3.8K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 21Sep 18

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$2.5K
Sep 2026+$1.3K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy cool.moth2409 on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.