rivomarkets
Kalshi

dad.mess

+$3.5K
Tracked Trades
314
First Seen
Sep 7, 2025
Last Trade
Sep 18, 2026
Followers
5

dad.mess is a Kalshi trader with 314 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 20 wins and 24 losses on settled markets, $3.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points on Sep 18.

Win rate
45%
Return on settled
+179%
Money traded
$23.5K
Typical trade
$24
Copy score
10/100
Kalshi rank
#1,340

Profit over time

+$3.5K-$316
Oct 7Sep 17

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1247%19%+11 pts
20 to 40¢5930%36%+7 pts
40 to 60¢6449%67%+18 pts
60 to 80¢3368%100%+32 pts
Over 80¢3490%100%+10 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $97938%-$3
$9 to $247953%+$2.6K
$24 to $527842%+$529
$53 to $1.9K7844%+$361

Side taken

Yes 73%27% No

If you had copied dad.mess

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$11925
Profit
on $1100 staked
3-8
Record
27% win rate
+1084%
Return
44 still open
Profit over time11 settled trades
+$11.9K-$200
Jun 22Sep 14

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 11 so far.

By category

other11 settled+1084%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

43 open positions worth $1.6K

The markets dad.mess is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what dad.mess is holding

Recent positions

yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 18, avg 81¢
SELLNO$1.7KOpen
yes Dalton Kincaid: 1+,yes James Cook III: 1+,yes Jahmyr Gibbs: 1+,yes Sam LaPorta: 1+
Sep 17, avg 4¢
BUYYES$23+$576
yes Buffalo,yes Josh Allen: 2+,yes Josh Allen: 275+,yes Dalton Kincaid: 70+,yes DJ Moore: 80+,yes James Cook III: 80+,yes Josh Allen: 1+
Sep 17, avg 1¢
BUYYES$23-$23
See every position across 192 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Dalton Kincaid: 1+,yes Dawson Knox: 1+,yes Jahmyr Gibbs: 1+,yes Sam LaPorta: 1+
    $23 on Yes, Sep 17
    +$2.1K
  2. 2
    yes Buffalo,yes Jared Goff: 250+,yes Dalton Kincaid: 1+,yes Josh Allen: 1+,yes Over 42.5 points scored
    $47 on Yes, Sep 17
    +$596
  3. 3
    yes Dalton Kincaid: 1+,yes James Cook III: 1+,yes Jahmyr Gibbs: 1+,yes Sam LaPorta: 1+
    $23 on Yes, Sep 17
    +$576
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes Alex Tuch: 1+,yes BUF Sabres,yes Over 5.5 goals scored2+$0
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points1+$0
yes New York,yes Philadelphia,yes Los Angeles C,yes Oklahoma City,yes San Antonio2+$0
yes Detroit,yes Seattle,yes Philadelphia,yes Milwaukee,yes Texas20%-$78
yes Washington,yes Boston,yes New York Y,yes New York M,yes Toronto2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 21Sep 18

Profit by month

Oct 2025-$19
Nov 2025-$8
Dec 2025-$194
Jan 2026-$96
Feb 2026+$198
Mar 2026-$70
May 2026+$568
Jun 2026+$113
Jul 2026-$78
Aug 2026-$48
Sep 2026+$3.2K

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Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.

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