rivomarkets

dead.wood

+$8.4K
Tracked Trades
1,157
First Seen
Jul 18, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 13, 2026
Followers
1

dead.wood is a Kalshi trader with 1,157 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 50 wins and 145 losses on settled markets, $8.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Ilia Simakin wins on Sep 13.

Win rate
26%
Return on settled
+17%
Money traded
$226.5K
Typical trade
$57
Copy score
20/100
Kalshi rank
#773

Profit over time

+$13.7K-$1.2K
Jul 19Sep 12

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢25711%10%-1 pts
20 to 40¢39829%23%-6 pts
40 to 60¢25849%39%-10 pts
60 to 80¢15168%47%-21 pts
Over 80¢9385%100%+15 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $82902%-$117
$8 to $5728914%+$556
$57 to $24728924%+$2.9K
$247 to $3.0K28949%+$5.1K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports6059%+$5.1K
Culture40%-$549

Side taken

Yes 71%29% No

If you had copied dead.wood

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$2401
Profit
on $19500 staked
50-145
Record
26% win rate
+12%
Return
516 still open
Profit over time195 settled trades
+$2.7K-$1.6K
Jul 13Sep 7
-$6.9K
Max drawdown
1748% below peak
0.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.17×
Profit factor
$16.9K won vs $14.5K lost
-5.1 pts
Edge vs implied
26% won at 31¢ avg
Longest losing streak
30
Deepest drawdown
149 trades

By category

sports27 settled+25%
other167 settled+11%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

208 open positions worth $78.7K

The markets dead.wood is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what dead.wood is holding

Recent positions

Ilia Simakin wins
Sep 13, avg 73¢
BUYYES$531Open
Parlay: Alabama + BYU + Mississippi St. + Texas Tech + Not Utah over 41.5 points scored
Sep 13, avg 57¢
SELLNO$758Open
Oregon wins
Sep 12, avg 68¢
BUYYES$552-$552
See every position across 309 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Dane Sweeny wins
    $281 on Yes, Sep 3
    +$5.3K
  2. 2
    Colorado wins
    $1.9K on Yes, Sep 4
    +$4.3K
  3. 3
    Stefanos Tsitsipas wins
    $1.2K on Yes, Sep 2
    +$1.9K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Flavio Cobolli wins7100%+$608
Dane Sweeny wins17100%+$6.1K
Alexei Popyrin wins20%-$1.2K
Kansas City vs Detroit Total Runs?30+$0
Will Brandon Nakashima win the Shelton vs Nakashima: Final match?4+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 16Sep 13

Profit by month

Jul 2026+$1.5K
Aug 2026-$1.1K
Sep 2026+$8.0K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy dead.wood on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.