rivomarkets

deal.fat

+$29.1K
Tracked Trades
861
First Seen
Apr 4, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 19, 2026
Followers
2

deal.fat is a Kalshi trader with 861 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 245 wins and 47 losses on settled markets, $29.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Sep 19.

Win rate
84%
Return on settled
+66%
Money traded
$67.0K
Typical trade
$10
Copy score
80/100
Kalshi rank
#291

Profit over time

+$30.5K-$127
Apr 17Sep 18

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2377%62%+55 pts
20 to 40¢11330%32%+1 pts
40 to 60¢9950%79%+29 pts
60 to 80¢11871%84%+13 pts
Over 80¢25693%100%+7 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $220694%+$7
$2 to $1020671%+$172
$10 to $5020683%+$280
$50 to $1.7K20592%+$28.9K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Crypto3083%+$26.2K

Side taken

Yes 53%47% No

If you had copied deal.fat

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$12042
Profit
on $25300 staked
221-32
Record
87% win rate
+48%
Return
28 still open
Profit over time253 settled trades
+$12.0K-$100
Jun 22Sep 14
-$1.2K
Max drawdown
19% below peak
10.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
4.76×
Profit factor
$15.2K won vs $3.2K lost
+11.5 pts
Edge vs implied
87% won at 76¢ avg
Longest losing streak
7
Deepest drawdown
52 trades

By category

crypto29 settled+147%
other224 settled+35%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

13 open positions worth $1.6K

The markets deal.fat is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what deal.fat is holding

Recent positions

BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 19, 7 fills, avg 91¢
SELLNO$114Open
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 19, 2 fills, avg 15¢
BUYYES$18Open
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 18, 8 fills, avg 3¢
SELLYES$15Open
See every position across 132 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Bitcoin price on Sep 3, 2026?
    $1.1K on No, Sep 3
    +$16.1K
  2. 2
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $1.5K on No, Sep 3
    +$12.0K
  3. 3
    Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026?
    $1.4K on No, Sep 4
    +$1.2K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?45784%+$10.9K
Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026?4478%+$1.5K
Bitcoin price on Sep 12, 2026?25100%+$288
Bitcoin price on Sep 14, 2026?36100%+$35
Bitcoin price on Sep 5, 2026?16100%+$375

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 22Sep 19

Profit by month

Apr 2026-$10
May 2026-$106
Jun 2026+$102
Sep 2026+$29.3K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy deal.fat on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.