rivomarkets

dumb.aim

+$4.2K
Tracked Trades
1,045
First Seen
May 12, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 20, 2026
Followers
6

dumb.aim is a Kalshi trader with 1,045 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 138 wins and 95 losses on settled markets, $4.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Fresno St.,no Over 33.5 points scored on Sep 20.

Win rate
59%
Return on settled
+10%
Money traded
$199.2K
Typical trade
$68
Copy score
55/100
Kalshi rank
#1,212

Profit over time

+$5.4K+$0
May 13Sep 20

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3288%33%+25 pts
20 to 40¢17429%43%+14 pts
40 to 60¢32651%60%+9 pts
60 to 80¢9668%80%+12 pts
Over 80¢11592%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1326073%+$46
$14 to $6826037%-$248
$68 to $23926064%+$4.1K
$240 to $2.3K25956%+$422

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports1220%-$3.3K

Side taken

Yes 68%32% No

If you had copied dumb.aim

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$5703
Profit
on $17100 staked
107-64
Record
63% win rate
+33%
Return
318 still open
Profit over time171 settled trades
+$5.7K-$1.7K
Jun 22Sep 14
-$3.0K
Max drawdown
232% below peak
1.9×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.89×
Profit factor
$12.1K won vs $6.4K lost
+14.2 pts
Edge vs implied
63% won at 48¢ avg
Longest losing streak
26
Deepest drawdown
33 trades

By category

other166 settled+36%
sports5 settled-65%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

273 open positions worth $46.0K

The markets dumb.aim is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what dumb.aim is holding

Recent positions

yes Fresno St.,no Over 33.5 points scored
Sep 20, avg 14¢
SELLNO$114Open
Fresno St. wins
Sep 20, avg 17¢
SELLNO$89Open
yes Fresno St.,no Over 33.5 points scored
Sep 20, avg 61¢
BUYYES$487-$487
See every position across 476 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
    $779 on Yes, Sep 13
    +$1.1K
  2. 2
    yes Houston,yes Philadelphia,yes Over 10.5 1Q points scored,yes Buffalo
    $94 on Yes, Sep 17
    +$995
  3. 3
    A's vs Los Angeles A Winner?
    $949 on Yes, May 21
    +$841
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Milwaukee vs A's Winner?1013%-$1.0K
Milwaukee wins950%-$1.6K
yes New York Y,yes Los Angeles D80%-$137
A's wins16100%+$1.6K
Turkiye vs USA Winner?4+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 23Sep 20

Profit by month

May 2026+$1.7K
Jun 2026-$231
Jul 2026-$469
Aug 2026+$979
Sep 2026+$2.3K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy dumb.aim on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.