rivomarkets

early.bird2030

+$2.6K
Tracked Trades
23
First Seen
Jul 29, 2026
Last Trade
Aug 25, 2026
Followers
4

early.bird2030 is a Kalshi trader with 23 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 2 wins and 8 losses on settled markets, $2.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Natsumi Kawaguchi wins on Aug 25.

Win rate
20%
Return on settled
+27%
Money traded
$13.7K
Typical trade
$544
Copy score
6/100
Kalshi rank
#1,509

Profit over time

+$6.7K-$1.6K
Jul 31Aug 25

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1013%0%-13 pts
20 to 40¢232%100%+68 pts
40 to 60¢352%
60 to 80¢768%0%-68 pts
Over 80¢189%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $960%-$9
$11 to $544650%+$615
$607 to $84960%-$2.9K
$896 to $3.4K533%+$4.9K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Culture50%-$4.1K
Crypto2100%+$8.4K

Side taken

Yes 91%9% No

If you had copied early.bird2030

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$375
Profit
on $1000 staked
2-8
Record
20% win rate
-38%
Return
13 still open
Profit over time10 settled trades
+$0-$375
Jul 27Aug 24

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 10 so far.

By category

culture5 settled-100%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

8 open positions worth $4.0K

The markets early.bird2030 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what early.bird2030 is holding

Recent positions

Natsumi Kawaguchi wins
Aug 25, 5 fills, avg 67¢
BUYYES$4.1K-$4.1K
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Aug 25, 2 fills, avg 32¢
BUYNO$3.9K+$8.4K
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Aug 24, avg 17¢
BUYYES$924-$924
See every position across 13 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $3.9K on No, Aug 25
    +$8.4K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Natsumi Kawaguchi wins50%-$4.1K
BTC price up in next 15 mins?7100%+$8.4K
Chicago WS vs Boston Winner?1+$0
Chicago C vs St. Louis Winner?2+$0
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points10%-$924

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

May 28Aug 25

Profit by month

Jul 2026-$713
Aug 2026+$3.4K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy early.bird2030 on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.