rivomarkets

fair.change

+$2.7K
Tracked Trades
518
First Seen
Apr 7, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 20, 2026
Followers
4

fair.change is a Kalshi trader with 518 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 54 wins and 70 losses on settled markets, $2.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points on Sep 20.

Win rate
44%
Return on settled
+20%
Money traded
$60.7K
Typical trade
$72
Copy score
41/100
Kalshi rank
#1,488

Profit over time

+$2.9K-$163
Apr 8Sep 19

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢22912%26%+14 pts
20 to 40¢12827%27%+0 pts
40 to 60¢7748%62%+14 pts
60 to 80¢2969%92%+23 pts
Over 80¢3789%33%-56 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $2312572%+$156
$23 to $7212530%+$189
$73 to $14112533%+$528
$141 to $2.8K12551%+$989

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports1100%+$296

Side taken

Yes 88%12% No

If you had copied fair.change

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$2317
Profit
on $4100 staked
24-17
Record
59% win rate
+57%
Return
89 still open
Profit over time41 settled trades
+$2.3K+$0
Jun 29Sep 14
-$500
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
4.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.36×
Profit factor
$4.0K won vs $1.7K lost
+21.1 pts
Edge vs implied
59% won at 37¢ avg
Longest losing streak
5
Deepest drawdown
5 trades

By category

other40 settled+57%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

86 open positions worth $13.3K

The markets fair.change is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what fair.change is holding

Recent positions

yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 20, avg 26¢
BUYYES$530Open
yes Michael Aswell,yes Doo Ho Choi,yes Edmen Shahbazyan
Sep 19, avg 18¢
BUYYES$95-$95
yes Michael Aswell,yes Eduarda Moura
Sep 19, 2 fills, avg 18¢
BUYYES$170-$170
See every position across 281 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Cleveland,yes Over 199.5 points scored
    $284 on Yes, May 18
    +$1.2K
  2. 2
    St. Louis vs A's Winner?
    $189 on Yes, May 14
    +$1.0K
  3. 3
    San Francisco vs Los Angeles D Winner?
    $143 on Yes, May 13
    +$609
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
St. Louis vs A's Winner?1820%+$1
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points4+$0
yes Minnesota,yes Kansas City,no Over 11.5 runs scored,yes Over 6.5 runs scored,no Over 10.5 runs scored2+$0
Kansas City vs St. Louis Winner?110%-$865
Game 6: San Antonio at Minnesota Winner?30%-$180

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 23Sep 20

Profit by month

Apr 2026+$619
May 2026+$1.3K
Aug 2026+$1.0K
Sep 2026-$1.1K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy fair.change on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.