rivomarkets
Kalshi

fair.mackerel8468

+$77.8K
Tracked Trades
71
First Seen
Aug 23, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 19, 2026
Followers
14

fair.mackerel8468 is a Kalshi trader with 71 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 57 wins and 5 losses on settled markets, $77.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Sep 19.

Win rate
92%
Return on settled
+187%
Money traded
$47.5K
Typical trade
$687
Copy score
82/100
Kalshi rank
#133

Profit over time

+$78.2K+$0
Aug 23Sep 19

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢129%82%+73 pts
20 to 40¢427%100%+73 pts
40 to 60¢549%100%+51 pts
60 to 80¢971%86%+14 pts
Over 80¢3990%94%+4 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$503 to $5691886%+$25.6K
$569 to $6871788%+$10.1K
$689 to $7541794%+$29.3K
$759 to $1.2K17100%+$12.6K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Crypto4891%+$57.3K
Culture567%-$58

Side taken

Yes 45%55% No

If you had copied fair.mackerel8468

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$11731
Profit
on $6000 staked
55-5
Record
92% win rate
+196%
Return
3 still open
Profit over time60 settled trades
+$11.8K+$0
Aug 17Sep 14
-$100
Max drawdown
5% below peak
117.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
24.46×
Profit factor
$12.2K won vs $500 lost
+26.7 pts
Edge vs implied
92% won at 65¢ avg
Longest losing streak
1
Deepest drawdown
1 trades

By category

crypto43 settled+212%
other14 settled+184%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

3 open positions worth $1.8K

The markets fair.mackerel8468 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what fair.mackerel8468 is holding

Recent positions

BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 19, avg 82¢
BUYNO$660-$660
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 19, avg 94¢
BUYYES$564Open
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 19, avg 94¢
BUYNO$761+$52
See every position across 63 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $569 on No, Aug 25
    +$10.6K
  2. 2
    KXSILVER15M-26AUG250845-45
    $713 on No, Aug 25
    +$8.5K
  3. 3
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $674 on No, Aug 26
    +$8.0K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?4891%+$57.3K
Gold price up in next 15 mins?30%-$707
Silver price up in next 15 mins?2100%+$649
KXSILVER15M-26AUG250400-001100%+$7.5K
KXDOGE15M-26SEP112145-451100%+$47

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 22Sep 19

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$76.0K
Sep 2026+$1.5K

Similar Kalshi traders

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Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.

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