rivomarkets
Kalshi

fit.cicada3860

+$322
Tracked Trades
600
First Seen
Jun 19, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 4, 2026
Followers
5

fit.cicada3860 is a Kalshi trader with 600 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 74 wins and 120 losses on settled markets, $322 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points on Sep 4.

Win rate
38%
Return on settled
+3%
Money traded
$52.8K
Typical trade
$29
Copy score
31/100
Kalshi rank
#2,583

Profit over time

+$2.0K-$97
Jun 21Sep 4

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1724%2%-1 pts
20 to 40¢8731%27%-4 pts
40 to 60¢22052%68%+17 pts
60 to 80¢10066%74%+8 pts
Over 80¢2186%100%+14 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1015023%-$178
$10 to $2915030%-$108
$29 to $9515052%+$388
$95 to $5.9K15061%+$220

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports1100%+$143

Side taken

Yes 74%26% No

If you had copied fit.cicada3860

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$4086
Profit
on $19100 staked
71-120
Record
37% win rate
-21%
Return
263 still open
Profit over time191 settled trades
+$108-$4.1K
Jun 22Aug 31
-$6.0K
Max drawdown
387% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.66×
Profit factor
$7.9K won vs $12.0K lost
+7.3 pts
Edge vs implied
37% won at 30¢ avg
Longest losing streak
13
Deepest drawdown
95 trades

By category

other190 settled-22%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

221 open positions worth $22.0K

The markets fit.cicada3860 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what fit.cicada3860 is holding

Recent positions

yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 4, avg 43¢
BUYYES$514-$514
Dane Sweeny wins
Sep 3, avg 82¢
BUYYES$652+$143
yes Felix Auger-Aliassime,yes Alexander Blockx,yes Luciano Darderi,yes Taylor Fritz,yes Jakub Mensik,yes Alejandro Tabilo,yes Flavio Cobolli,yes Francisco Cerundolo,yes Zizou Bergs,yes Ignacio Buse,yes Learner Tien,yes Arthur Gea,yes Michael Zheng,yes Alexander Zverev
Sep 3, avg 1¢
BUYYES$5-$5
See every position across 410 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Mariano Navone wins
    $169 on Yes, Aug 31
    +$425
  2. 2
    no Over 5.5 runs in the first 5 innings,no Over 5.5 runs in the first 5 innings
    $289 on Yes, Aug 29
    +$349
  3. 3
    yes Kai Asakura,yes Bilal Hasan,yes Su Mudaerji
    $298 on Yes, Aug 29
    +$333
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points20%-$514
Turkiye vs USA Winner?8+$0
1st inning: Over 0.5 runs2661%+$129
yes England,yes Croatia,yes Portugal,yes Over 1.5 goals scored2+$0
Norway vs Senegal Winner?4+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 7Sep 4

Profit by month

Jun 2026+$105
Jul 2026-$44
Aug 2026+$1.4K
Sep 2026-$1.1K

Similar Kalshi traders

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