rivomarkets

fresh.bay

+$588
Tracked Trades
1,007
First Seen
Aug 21, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 21, 2026

fresh.bay is a Kalshi trader with 1,007 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 340 wins and 104 losses on settled markets, $588 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Gold price up in next 15 mins? on Sep 21.

Win rate
77%
Return on settled
+2%
Money traded
$42.1K
Typical trade
$16
Copy score
72/100
Kalshi rank
#2,492

Profit over time

+$1.1K-$514
Aug 21Sep 21

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢425%0%-5 pts
20 to 40¢2237%67%+30 pts
40 to 60¢12954%60%+6 pts
60 to 80¢24071%67%-4 pts
Over 80¢36189%92%+3 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $219967%-$1
$2 to $1619989%+$129
$16 to $5919872%+$95
$64 to $83119869%-$543

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports467%-$526

Side taken

Yes 59%41% No

If you had copied fresh.bay

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$1251
Profit
on $33000 staked
246-84
Record
75% win rate
+4%
Return
243 still open
Profit over time330 settled trades
+$1.6K+$0
Aug 17Sep 21
-$1.9K
Max drawdown
108% below peak
0.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.15×
Profit factor
$9.7K won vs $8.4K lost
+1.9 pts
Edge vs implied
75% won at 73¢ avg
Longest losing streak
11
Deepest drawdown
154 trades

By category

other327 settled+4%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

35 open positions worth $7.9K

The markets fresh.bay is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what fresh.bay is holding

Recent positions

Gold price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 21, 4 fills, avg 78¢
BUYYES$145-$145
Diogo Morais wins
Sep 21, 8 fills, avg 91¢
BUYYES$316+$33
SOL price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 21, 5 fills, avg 11¢
SELLNO$41Open
See every position across 149 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $260 on No, Aug 21
    +$703
  2. 2
    Bryce Nakashima Nakashima wins
    $198 on Yes, Sep 15
    +$442
  3. 3
    Patrick Maloney wins
    $521 on Yes, Sep 14
    +$285
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?8077%+$436
Gold price up in next 15 mins?7978%-$173
Silver price up in next 15 mins?67100%+$292
Copper price up in next 15 mins?7967%-$33
ETH price up in next 15 mins?4587%-$242

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 24Sep 21

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$177
Sep 2026-$495

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy fresh.bay on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.