rivomarkets

graceful.bear

+$37.6K
Tracked Trades
1,383
First Seen
Aug 7, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 19, 2026
Followers
3

graceful.bear is a Kalshi trader with 1,383 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 57 wins and 84 losses on settled markets, $37.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Over 36.5 points scored on Sep 19.

Win rate
40%
Return on settled
+88%
Money traded
$229.8K
Typical trade
$30
Copy score
33/100
Kalshi rank
#233

Profit over time

+$40.1K-$4.8K
Aug 9Sep 19

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢29413%66%+53 pts
20 to 40¢27226%33%+7 pts
40 to 60¢18249%
60 to 80¢37769%
Over 80¢12988%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $931448%+$88
$9 to $3031435%+$453
$30 to $12131333%+$2.5K
$122 to $7.2K31351%+$36.9K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports2275%+$30.2K
Culture20%-$8.6K

Side taken

Yes 94%6% No

If you had copied graceful.bear

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$14206
Profit
on $13800 staked
57-81
Record
41% win rate
+103%
Return
511 still open
Profit over time138 settled trades
+$15.4K-$2.1K
Aug 3Sep 14
-$4.4K
Max drawdown
24% below peak
3.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.75×
Profit factor
$22.3K won vs $8.1K lost
+19.2 pts
Edge vs implied
41% won at 22¢ avg
Longest losing streak
44
Deepest drawdown
44 trades

By category

sports12 settled+200%
other124 settled+97%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

38 open positions worth $88.3K

The markets graceful.bear is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what graceful.bear is holding

Recent positions

Over 36.5 points scored
Sep 19, 4 fills, avg 20¢
BUYNO$279-$279
KXLOLMAP-26SEP191200REDVKS-3-RED
Sep 19, avg 69¢
SELLYES$3.5KOpen
RED Canids wins map 3
Sep 19, 7 fills, avg 69¢
SELLYES$265Open
See every position across 74 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: Seattle wins?
    $11.1K on Yes, Sep 10
    +$33.2K
  2. 2
    Maryville University wins
    $3.8K on Yes, Sep 9
    +$12.5K
  3. 3
    KXLOLGAME-26SEP181600SENSR-SR
    $3.6K on Yes, Sep 18
    +$8.9K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Will Anyone's Legend win map 2 in the Anyone's Legend vs. LGD Gaming match?32+$0
New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: Seattle wins?9100%+$33.2K
Will Vivo Keyd Stars win the Vivo Keyd Stars vs. LOUD League of Legends match?2+$0
Will GIANTX win map 2 in the GIANTX vs. Shifters match?68+$0
Will Cloud9 win map 1 in the Disguised vs. Cloud9 match?31+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 22Sep 19

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$4.8K
Sep 2026+$44.7K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy graceful.bear on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.