rivomarkets

guiltyspark

+$1.7K
Tracked Trades
252
First Seen
Oct 8, 2025
Last Trade
Sep 17, 2026
Followers
11

guiltyspark is a Kalshi trader with 252 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 108 wins and 23 losses on settled markets, $1.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Sep 17.

Win rate
82%
Return on settled
+6%
Money traded
$63.9K
Typical trade
$47
Copy score
85/100
Kalshi rank
#1,809

Profit over time

+$2.6K-$1.8K
Oct 19Sep 17

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢378%40%+32 pts
20 to 40¢4632%78%+46 pts
40 to 60¢3852%48%-4 pts
60 to 80¢3673%81%+9 pts
Over 80¢9590%99%+8 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $66396%+$55
$6 to $476370%+$306
$47 to $3896370%-$443
$432 to $3.6K6385%+$1.8K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Crypto3488%+$2.5K

Side taken

Yes 67%33% No

If you had copied guiltyspark

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$5012
Profit
on $11000 staked
101-9
Record
92% win rate
+46%
Return
19 still open
Profit over time110 settled trades
+$5.0K+$0
Jul 6Sep 14
-$300
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
16.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
6.57×
Profit factor
$5.9K won vs $900 lost
+18.3 pts
Edge vs implied
92% won at 74¢ avg
Longest losing streak
3
Deepest drawdown
3 trades

By category

other84 settled+56%
crypto26 settled+13%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

7 open positions worth $6.4K

The markets guiltyspark is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what guiltyspark is holding

Recent positions

BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 17, avg 77¢
SELLNO$550Open
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 17, avg 61¢
BUYYES$630-$630
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 17, avg 90¢
BUYYES$795+$84
See every position across 88 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $3.3K on No, Sep 15
    +$973
  2. 2
    Atlanta at San Francisco Winner?
    $459 on Yes, Oct 20
    +$584
  3. 3
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $1.3K on Yes, Sep 16
    +$559
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?12697%+$3.4K
Dallas at Denver: Total Points9+$0
What will Netflix, Inc. say during their next earnings call?20+$0
yes Baltimore,yes Atlanta,yes Pittsburgh,yes Green Bay,yes Kansas City,yes Los Angeles R,yes Buffalo,yes Dallas2+$0
Houston vs Oklahoma City Winner?110%-$2.7K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 20Sep 17

Profit by month

Oct 2025-$1.8K
Nov 2025+$149
Sep 2026+$3.4K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy guiltyspark on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.