rivomarkets

illusory

+$1.4K
Tracked Trades
776
First Seen
Jul 2, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 16, 2026
Followers
15

illusory is a Kalshi trader with 776 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 197 wins and 315 losses on settled markets, $1.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Over 9.5 runs scored on Sep 16.

Win rate
38%
Return on settled
+6%
Money traded
$42.6K
Typical trade
$10
Copy score
34/100
Kalshi rank
#1,891

Profit over time

+$3.8K-$168
Jul 2Sep 16

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2117%5%-2 pts
20 to 40¢9729%34%+5 pts
40 to 60¢14948%21%-27 pts
60 to 80¢13371%67%-4 pts
Over 80¢18690%79%-11 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $219418%-$71
$2 to $1019441%-$57
$10 to $3019438%-$695
$30 to $2.5K19463%+$2.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports675%+$25
Culture575%+$901

Side taken

Yes 64%36% No

If you had copied illusory

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$13251
Profit
on $51200 staked
197-315
Record
38% win rate
-26%
Return
84 still open
Profit over time512 settled trades
+$0-$13.3K
Jun 29Sep 14
-$17.0K
Max drawdown
575% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.58×
Profit factor
$18.2K won vs $31.5K lost
-9.1 pts
Edge vs implied
38% won at 48¢ avg
Longest losing streak
82
Deepest drawdown
468 trades

By category

other504 settled-27%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

79 open positions worth $2.9K

The markets illusory is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what illusory is holding

Recent positions

Over 9.5 runs scored
Sep 16, avg 79¢
BUYYES$516-$516
Will over 1.5 goals be scored?
Sep 16, avg 67¢
SELLYES$716Open
Will over 1.5 goals be scored?
Sep 16, avg 64¢
BUYNO$775+$436
See every position across 284 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will over 6.5 goals be scored?
    $536 on No, Aug 20
    +$952
  2. 2
    yes Atletico,yes Barcelona,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Parker Messick: 3+,yes Over 2.5 runs scored
    $1.0K on Yes, Sep 16
    +$784
  3. 3
    yes America,yes Austin,yes San Diego FC
    $503 on Yes, Aug 10
    +$751
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Will over 2.5 goals be scored?4042%-$436
Will over 1.5 goals be scored?5868%+$642
Will over 3.5 goals be scored?3868%-$274
KXJLEAGUEGAME-26AUG21TOKJEF-JEF1+$0
yes LV Raiders,no Over 33.5 points scored,no Over 51.5 points scored,no Over 51.5 points scored,yes Golden State,yes Minnesota,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,no Las Vegas wins by over 15.5 points2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 19Sep 16

Profit by month

Jul 2026-$126
Aug 2026+$989
Sep 2026+$564

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy illusory on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.