rivomarkets
Kalshi

Lunar4ik

lunar4ik

+$5.0K
Tracked Trades
80
First Seen
Aug 16, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 20, 2026
Followers
1,479

Lunar4ik is a Kalshi trader with 80 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 10 wins and 11 losses on settled markets, $5.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Arman Tsarukyan wins on Sep 20.

Win rate
48%
Return on settled
+31%
Money traded
$40.2K
Typical trade
$244
Copy score
28/100
Kalshi rank
#1,110

Profit over time

+$5.0K+$0
Aug 16Sep 20

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢438%25%+17 pts
20 to 40¢2229%0%-29 pts
40 to 60¢747%100%+53 pts
60 to 80¢672%100%+28 pts
Over 80¢284%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$8 to $1432033%+$1.9K
$143 to $2382033%+$534
$251 to $4842050%+$57
$491 to $4.9K2063%+$2.5K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports3100%+$1.8K

Side taken

Yes 89%11% No

If you had copied Lunar4ik

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$1558
Profit
on $2100 staked
10-11
Record
48% win rate
+74%
Return
50 still open
Profit over time21 settled trades
+$1.6K-$133
Aug 10Sep 14
-$500
Max drawdown
299% below peak
3.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.42×
Profit factor
$2.7K won vs $1.1K lost
+19.2 pts
Edge vs implied
48% won at 28¢ avg
Longest losing streak
5
Deepest drawdown
5 trades

By category

other20 settled+76%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

48 open positions worth $14.4K

The markets Lunar4ik is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Lunar4ik is holding

Recent positions

Arman Tsarukyan wins
Sep 20, avg 73¢
BUYYES$4.9K+$1.8K
Arman Tsarukyan wins
Sep 20, avg 73¢
BUYYES$491+$182
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 19, avg 31¢
BUYYES$954Open
See every position across 68 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Arman Tsarukyan wins
    $4.9K on Yes, Sep 20
    +$1.8K
  2. 2
    yes Bayern Munich,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Barcelona,yes Real Madrid,yes Real Madrid,yes Barcelona,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Bayern Munich,yes Manchester United
    $122 on Yes, Sep 10
    +$1.4K
  3. 3
    Will Islam Makhachev win the Makhachev vs Garry professional MMA fight scheduled for Aug 15, 2026?
    $3.9K on Yes, Aug 16
    +$1.4K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points1240%-$850
Arman Tsarukyan wins2100%+$2.0K
Will Islam Makhachev win the Makhachev vs Garry professional MMA fight scheduled for Aug 15, 2026?2100%+$1.4K
yes Bayern Munich,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Arsenal,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,no Over 2.5 1H goals scored,yes Barcelona,yes Real Madrid,yes Barcelona,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,no Over 2.5 1H goals scored,no Over 2.5 1H goals scored,yes Roma,yes Inter,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Gable Steveson,yes Arman Tsarukyan1+$0
yes Bayern Munich,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Liverpool,yes Arsenal,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Barcelona,yes Real Madrid,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Manchester City,yes Barcelona,yes Arsenal,yes Bayern Munich,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored1+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 23Sep 20

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$2.3K
Sep 2026+$2.7K

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