rivomarkets

m4rkgeeskiii

+$6.1K
Tracked Trades
4,871
First Seen
Aug 11, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 20, 2026
Followers
147

m4rkgeeskiii is a Kalshi trader with 4,871 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 3270 wins and 200 losses on settled markets, $6.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Xinxin Yao wins on Sep 20.

Win rate
94%
Return on settled
+0%
Money traded
$1.7M
Typical trade
$50
Copy score
93/100
Kalshi rank
#961

Profit over time

+$9.0K-$2.4K
Aug 13Sep 20

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢15311%0%-11 pts
20 to 40¢13128%9%-20 pts
40 to 60¢15049%34%-15 pts
60 to 80¢15970%26%-44 pts
Over 80¢420697%98%+1 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $11120088%-$269
$12 to $50120096%-$125
$50 to $396120094%-$2.4K
$396 to $10K119998%+$6.1K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Culture7688%-$440
Sports3175%+$1.1K
Crypto40%-$6.0K
Finance1+$0

Side taken

Yes 95%5% No

If you had copied m4rkgeeskiii

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$9250
Profit
on $341100 staked
3211-200
Record
94% win rate
-3%
Return
1165 still open
Profit over time3411 settled trades
+$3-$9.3K
Aug 10Sep 14
-$11.0K
Max drawdown
10754% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.54×
Profit factor
$10.7K won vs $20.0K lost
-0.5 pts
Edge vs implied
94% won at 95¢ avg
Longest losing streak
43
Deepest drawdown
2823 trades

By category

culture40 settled+6%
other3350 settled-3%
sports20 settled-6%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

305 open positions worth $302.5K

The markets m4rkgeeskiii is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what m4rkgeeskiii is holding

Recent positions

Xinxin Yao wins
Sep 20, avg 94¢
BUYYES$996Open
Alibek Kachmazov wins
Sep 20, 6 fills, avg 98¢
BUYYES$2.0K+$42
Anna Rogers / Allura Zamarripa wins
Sep 19, 17 fills, avg 99¢
BUYYES$3.7K+$37
See every position across 687 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26SEP12BALCHA-BAL
    $17.1K on Yes, Sep 13
    +$6.3K
  2. 2
    Hiromasa Koyama wins
    $1.5K on Yes, Aug 26
    +$1.5K
  3. 3
    Liudmila Samsonova wins
    $628 on Yes, Sep 18
    +$1.3K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Anna Blinkova wins8021%-$7.8K
Jeline Vandromme wins57+$0
Asylzhan Arystanbekova wins61100%+$286
Victor Pagotto wins65100%+$240
Ilya Ivashka wins11100%+$419

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 23Sep 20

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$721
Sep 2026+$2.5K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy m4rkgeeskiii on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.