rivomarkets
Kalshi

mere.lark3645

+$2.9K
Tracked Trades
874
First Seen
Jun 11, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 6, 2026
Followers
48

mere.lark3645 is a Kalshi trader with 874 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 41 wins and 178 losses on settled markets, $2.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Parlay: Botic Van de Zandschulp + Learner Tien + Arthur Gea + Arthur Gea + Iva Jovic + Elena Rybakina on Sep 6.

Win rate
19%
Return on settled
+48%
Money traded
$46.0K
Typical trade
$9
Copy score
11/100
Kalshi rank
#1,445

Profit over time

+$3.9K-$1.2K
Jun 11Sep 5

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢5185%1%-4 pts
20 to 40¢14828%44%+16 pts
40 to 60¢6449%29%-19 pts
60 to 80¢7670%71%+1 pts
Over 80¢6891%100%+9 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $421917%-$37
$4 to $92195%-$306
$9 to $3121821%-$498
$32 to $5.4K21835%+$3.8K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports4+$0

Side taken

Yes 75%25% No

If you had copied mere.lark3645

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$939
Profit
on $16300 staked
26-137
Record
16% win rate
+6%
Return
476 still open
Profit over time163 settled trades
+$939-$844
Jun 22Aug 31
-$4.9K
Max drawdown
769% below peak
0.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.07×
Profit factor
$14.6K won vs $13.7K lost
+0.5 pts
Edge vs implied
16% won at 15¢ avg
Longest losing streak
36
Deepest drawdown
54 trades

By category

other163 settled+6%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

340 open positions worth $12.5K

The markets mere.lark3645 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what mere.lark3645 is holding

Recent positions

Parlay: Botic Van de Zandschulp + Learner Tien + Arthur Gea + Arthur Gea + Iva Jovic + Elena Rybakina
Sep 6, avg 94¢
SELLNO$780Open
yes Cincinnati,yes Atlanta,yes Boston,yes New York M,yes Over 11.5 runs scored,yes Over 4.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 10.5 runs scored
Sep 5, avg 12¢
BUYYES$73-$73
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 4, avg 83¢
SELLNO$5.4KOpen
See every position across 572 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Ignacio Buse,yes Michael Zheng,yes Alexander Bublik,yes Yibing Wu,yes Stefanos Tsitsipas,yes Jiri Lehecka,yes Tommy Paul,yes Frances Tiafoe,yes Denis Shapovalov,yes Ben Shelton,yes Valentin Vacherot,yes Emma Navarro
    $47 on Yes, Sep 2
    +$4.6K
  2. 2
    yes Detroit,yes Miami,yes Milwaukee,no Over 4.5 runs scored,yes Over 1.5 runs scored
    $190 on Yes, Sep 3
    +$601
  3. 3
    yes Detroit,yes Miami,yes Milwaukee,no Over 8.5 runs scored
    $192 on Yes, Sep 3
    +$247
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points6+$0
Gold price up in next 15 mins?14839%-$13
Parlay: Benjamin Hassan + Hynek Barton + Benito Sanchez Martinez + Adam Walton + Aleksandar Kovacevic + Ren Nakamura + Kosuke Ogura + Not Arizona wins by over 2.5 runs + Over 3.5 runs scored + Not Over 11.5 runs scored + Over 4.5 runs scored + Atlanta1+$0
Parlay: Ignacio Buse + Michael Zheng + Alexander Bublik + Yibing Wu + Stefanos Tsitsipas + Jiri Lehecka + Tommy Paul + Frances Tiafoe + Denis Shapovalov + Ben Shelton + Valentin Vacherot + Emma Navarro1+$0
yes Houston over 2.5 runs scored,yes Toronto over 1.5 runs scored,yes New York M over 1.5 runs scored,yes Los Angeles D over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 6.5 runs scored,yes Over 7.5 runs scored,yes Over 4.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 9Sep 6

Profit by month

Jun 2026-$91
Jul 2026-$30
Aug 2026-$623
Sep 2026+$3.7K

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