rivomarkets

mr.bill

-$3.8K
Tracked Trades
764
First Seen
Nov 30, 2025
Last Trade
Sep 20, 2026
Followers
3

mr.bill is a Kalshi trader with 764 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 134 wins and 178 losses on settled markets, -$3.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Cleveland wins on Sep 20.

Win rate
43%
Return on settled
-9%
Money traded
$112.3K
Typical trade
$57
Copy score
44/100
Kalshi rank
#3,273

Profit over time

+$84-$8.2K
Nov 30Sep 20

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢6711%9%-2 pts
20 to 40¢12931%38%+7 pts
40 to 60¢34150%34%-16 pts
60 to 80¢12670%70%+0 pts
Over 80¢9790%79%-11 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1219035%-$61
$12 to $5719039%-$128
$57 to $23119040%-$1.4K
$232 to $1.9K19055%-$3.0K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports767%-$883

Side taken

Yes 81%19% No

If you had copied mr.bill

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$513
Profit
on $14100 staked
72-69
Record
51% win rate
-4%
Return
93 still open
Profit over time141 settled trades
+$2.3K-$513
Jun 22Sep 14
-$4.1K
Max drawdown
118% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.93×
Profit factor
$6.4K won vs $6.9K lost
+0.5 pts
Edge vs implied
51% won at 51¢ avg
Longest losing streak
41
Deepest drawdown
41 trades

By category

other135 settled-3%
sports6 settled-18%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

28 open positions worth $11.4K

The markets mr.bill is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what mr.bill is holding

Recent positions

Cleveland wins
Sep 20, avg 47¢
BUYYES$241+$272
New York J wins
Sep 20, avg 48¢
SELLNO$524Open
New York J wins
Sep 20, 41 fills, avg 44¢
BUYYES$478-$478
See every position across 312 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will United States win the gold medal in Ice Hockey Men's Ice Hockey?
    $396 on Yes, Feb 14
    +$767
  2. 2
    Game 5: New York at San Antonio Winner?
    $383 on Yes, Jun 14
    +$687
  3. 3
    Los Angeles L at Phoenix Winner?
    $286 on Yes, Feb 27
    +$608
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Will the Argentina win the 2026 Men's World Cup?11+$0
What will Donald Trump say during next White House announcement by Donald Trump?240%-$2.9K
Ecuador vs Germany Winner?4+$0
BC Olympiakos Piraeus vs BC Zalgiris Kaunas Winner?17+$0
Uzbekistan vs Colombia Winner?5+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 23Sep 20

Profit by month

Nov 2025-$95
Dec 2025-$757
Jan 2026-$1.6K
Feb 2026-$799
Mar 2026-$3.5K
Apr 2026+$35
May 2026-$1.5K
Jun 2026+$1.8K
Aug 2026+$550
Sep 2026+$1.4K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy mr.bill on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.