nickmacaroni
+$9.4K
- Tracked Trades
- 35
- First Seen
- Aug 20, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 16, 2026
- Followers
- 150
nickmacaroni is a Kalshi trader with 35 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 15 wins and 5 losses on settled markets, $9.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Sep 16.
- Win rate
- 75%
- Return on settled
- +60%
- Money traded
- $26.9K
- Typical trade
- $629
- Copy score
- 53/100
- Kalshi rank
- #705
Profit over time
+$11.9K+$0
Aug 20Sep 16
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢511%100%+89 pts
20 to 40¢727%67%+40 pts
40 to 60¢551%80%+29 pts
60 to 80¢1167%70%+3 pts
Over 80¢788%100%+12 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$250 to $521975%+$1.4K
$528 to $629967%+$1.7K
$633 to $850980%+$5.6K
$1.0K to $2.2K880%+$641
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Crypto2971%+$7.6K
Side taken
Yes 37%63% No
If you had copied nickmacaroni
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$1581
Profit
on $2000 staked
15-5
Record
75% win rate
+79%
Return
+$1.7K+$0
Aug 17Sep 14
-$376
Max drawdown
19% below peak
4.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
4.16×
Profit factor
$2.1K won vs $500 lost
+20.0 pts
Edge vs implied
75% won at 55¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 3
- Deepest drawdown
- 9 trades
By category
crypto17 settled+66%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 16, avg 66¢
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 16, avg 80¢
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 15, avg 94¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$5.2KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$641 on No, Sep 2
- 2+$1.3KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$618 on No, Sep 2
- 3+$1.3KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$2.0K on Yes, Sep 4
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?3575%+$9.4K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 19Sep 16
Profit by month
Aug 2026+$1.0K
Sep 2026+$8.4K
Similar Kalshi traders
Copy nickmacaroni on autopilot or by hand.
Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.