rivomarkets

occasional.duck5321

+$13.7K
Tracked Trades
2,285
First Seen
Aug 1, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 20, 2026
Followers
130

occasional.duck5321 is a Kalshi trader with 2,285 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 1322 wins and 516 losses on settled markets, $13.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Nao Hibino wins on Sep 20.

Win rate
72%
Return on settled
+2%
Money traded
$700.1K
Typical trade
$33
Copy score
70/100
Kalshi rank
#525

Profit over time

+$24.3K+$0
Aug 1Sep 20

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢7110%0%-10 pts
20 to 40¢20430%42%+11 pts
40 to 60¢29950%37%-13 pts
60 to 80¢59271%70%-1 pts
Over 80¢111790%88%-1 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $757157%-$245
$7 to $3357177%+$132
$33 to $23657175%+$911
$236 to $12K57078%+$15.0K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Culture11678%+$10.1K
Sports8067%-$573

Side taken

Yes 86%14% No

If you had copied occasional.duck5321

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$6114
Profit
on $183600 staked
1321-515
Record
72% win rate
-3%
Return
134 still open
Profit over time1836 settled trades
+$2.1K-$6.1K
Jul 27Sep 14
-$9.7K
Max drawdown
277% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.88×
Profit factor
$45.4K won vs $51.5K lost
-1.7 pts
Edge vs implied
72% won at 74¢ avg
Longest losing streak
53
Deepest drawdown
364 trades

By category

culture81 settled+5%
other1688 settled-3%
sports67 settled-9%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

30 open positions worth $66.1K

The markets occasional.duck5321 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what occasional.duck5321 is holding

Recent positions

Nao Hibino wins
Sep 20, avg 89¢
BUYYES$540Open
Nao Hibino wins
Sep 20, 11 fills, avg 71¢
BUYYES$588Open
Ilia Simakin wins
Sep 20, 3 fills, avg 10¢
SELLNO$204Open
See every position across 536 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Yuliia Starodubtseva wins
    $15.0K on Yes, Sep 4
    +$8.1K
  2. 2
    Manchester City wins
    $5.6K on Yes, Sep 13
    +$6.9K
  3. 3
    Will Radu Albot win the Albot vs Rossi: Qualification Final match?
    $8.3K on Yes, Aug 17
    +$3.9K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Stan Wawrinka wins14+$0
Will Dimitris Sakellaridis win the Sakellaridis vs Ovcharenko: Qualification Final match?120%-$21.0K
Will Gerard Campana Lee win the Campana Lee vs Papamalamis: Qualification Final match?24100%+$1.9K
Will Lucas Poullain win the Poullain vs Basing: Round Of 32 match?8100%+$3.2K
Alexander Zverev wins4100%+$25

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 23Sep 20

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$2.8K
Sep 2026+$13.0K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy occasional.duck5321 on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.