rivomarkets

optimal.binary

+$5.7K
Tracked Trades
1,312
First Seen
Apr 26, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 20, 2026
Followers
7

optimal.binary is a Kalshi trader with 1,312 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 549 wins and 515 losses on settled markets, $5.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points on Sep 20.

Win rate
52%
Return on settled
+3%
Money traded
$259.7K
Typical trade
$95
Copy score
48/100
Kalshi rank
#1,020

Profit over time

+$7.6K-$5.9K
Apr 26Sep 18

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢17712%15%+3 pts
20 to 40¢23030%33%+4 pts
40 to 60¢33851%44%-7 pts
60 to 80¢39268%71%+3 pts
Over 80¢17589%88%-1 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $2532861%-$111
$25 to $9532844%-$2.5K
$96 to $26532845%+$3.5K
$267 to $6.7K32856%+$4.8K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports1583%+$2.9K
Culture740%-$1.5K

Side taken

Yes 89%11% No

If you had copied optimal.binary

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$1709
Profit
on $67000 staked
347-323
Record
52% win rate
+3%
Return
144 still open
Profit over time670 settled trades
+$2.3K-$4.1K
Jun 22Sep 14
-$5.8K
Max drawdown
463% below peak
0.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.05×
Profit factor
$34.0K won vs $32.3K lost
+0.2 pts
Edge vs implied
52% won at 52¢ avg
Longest losing streak
16
Deepest drawdown
246 trades

By category

sports12 settled+25%
other653 settled+3%
culture5 settled-46%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

101 open positions worth $28.1K

The markets optimal.binary is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what optimal.binary is holding

Recent positions

yes Arsenal,yes Both Teams To Score,yes America,yes Toluca,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Marseille
Sep 20, avg 21¢
BUYYES$947Open
yes Arsenal,yes Both Teams To Score,yes America,yes Toluca,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Marseille
Sep 20, avg 34¢
BUYYES$554Open
yes Arsenal,yes Both Teams To Score,yes America,yes Toluca,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Marseille
Sep 18, avg 73¢
BUYYES$982+$358
See every position across 710 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Chicago,yes Indiana,yes Portland
    $235 on Yes, Aug 16
    +$2.3K
  2. 2
    yes Rae Burrell: 15+,yes Caitlin Clark: 20+,no Atlanta wins by over 10.5 points,yes Los Angeles wins by over 1.5 points
    $485 on Yes, Aug 22
    +$2.3K
  3. 3
    yes Arsenal,yes Both Teams To Score,yes America,yes Toluca,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Marseille
    $665 on Yes, Aug 30
    +$2.0K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes Villarreal,yes Cleveland,yes Los Angeles D,yes Denver,yes Roma2+$0
yes Arsenal,yes Both Teams To Score,yes America,yes Toluca,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Marseille3100%+$335
Los Angeles D wins560%+$840
Will both teams score?2095%+$1.9K
yes Norway,yes England10%-$1.9K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 23Sep 20

Profit by month

Apr 2026-$608
May 2026-$3.4K
Jun 2026+$5.6K
Jul 2026-$4.4K
Aug 2026+$6.1K
Sep 2026+$2.3K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy optimal.binary on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.