rivomarkets

ralfyraf

+$824
Tracked Trades
714
First Seen
Jun 25, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 21, 2026

ralfyraf is a Kalshi trader with 714 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 156 wins and 183 losses on settled markets, $824 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Ayumi Miyamoto wins on Sep 21.

Win rate
46%
Return on settled
+12%
Money traded
$15.7K
Typical trade
$5
Copy score
41/100
Kalshi rank
#2,284

Profit over time

+$1.1K-$145
Jul 11Sep 21

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2448%18%+10 pts
20 to 40¢15828%41%+13 pts
40 to 60¢9649%49%+0 pts
60 to 80¢8970%91%+21 pts
Over 80¢11591%100%+9 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $117644%+$124
$1 to $517638%+$70
$5 to $1417545%-$113
$14 to $70117561%+$664

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Culture2100%+$87

Side taken

Yes 72%28% No

If you had copied ralfyraf

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$21555
Profit
on $33500 staked
154-181
Record
46% win rate
+64%
Return
172 still open
Profit over time335 settled trades
+$23.3K-$300
Jun 22Sep 21
-$4.9K
Max drawdown
19% below peak
4.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.19×
Profit factor
$39.7K won vs $18.1K lost
+10.6 pts
Edge vs implied
46% won at 35¢ avg
Longest losing streak
33
Deepest drawdown
112 trades

By category

other334 settled+64%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

80 open positions worth $1.6K

The markets ralfyraf is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what ralfyraf is holding

Recent positions

Ayumi Miyamoto wins
Sep 21, avg 89¢
BUYYES$701+$87
Pavel Skvortcov wins
Sep 21, 12 fills, avg 75¢
BUYYES$1.0K+$335
Pavel Skvortcov wins
Sep 21, 3 fills, avg 25¢
SELLNO$148Open
See every position across 157 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Martin Borisiouk wins
    $263 on Yes, Sep 6
    +$444
  2. 2
    Pavel Skvortcov wins
    $1.0K on Yes, Sep 21
    +$335
  3. 3
    Emilia Carlotta Brune wins
    $263 on Yes, Aug 29
    +$324
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Pavel Skvortcov wins15100%+$335
Selina Atay wins210%-$81
Linang Xiao wins47+$0
Kristiana Sidorova wins130%-$170
Ayumi Miyamoto wins1100%+$87

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 24Sep 21

Profit by month

Jul 2026-$23
Aug 2026+$478
Sep 2026+$290

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy ralfyraf on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.