rivomarkets

raw.threat

+$1.4K
Tracked Trades
293
First Seen
Dec 18, 2025
Last Trade
Sep 19, 2026

raw.threat is a Kalshi trader with 293 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 6 wins and 24 losses on settled markets, $1.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Cincinnati,yes Jacksonville,yes Pittsburgh on Sep 19.

Win rate
20%
Return on settled
+36%
Money traded
$53.6K
Typical trade
$94
Copy score
12/100
Kalshi rank
#1,930

Profit over time

+$2.1K-$349
Dec 19Sep 18

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1738%7%-1 pts
20 to 40¢7428%20%-8 pts
40 to 60¢1448%60%+12 pts
60 to 80¢466%
Over 80¢2894%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $26740%-$7
$27 to $94730%-$278
$94 to $142738%-$1.2K
$142 to $6.2K7356%+$2.8K

Side taken

Yes 81%19% No

If you had copied raw.threat

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$348
Profit
on $1900 staked
5-14
Record
26% win rate
+18%
Return
141 still open
Profit over time19 settled trades
+$689+$0
Jun 29Sep 14

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 19 so far.

By category

other19 settled+18%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

116 open positions worth $16.3K

The markets raw.threat is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what raw.threat is holding

Recent positions

yes Cincinnati,yes Jacksonville,yes Pittsburgh
Sep 19, avg 6¢
BUYYES$141Open
no SF 49ers,yes Over 39.5 points scored
Sep 19, avg 95¢
SELLNO$2.4KOpen
yes Houston,yes Over 46.5 points scored
Sep 18, avg 16¢
BUYYES$94-$94
See every position across 170 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Wyndham Clark win the BMW Championship?
    $165 on Yes, Aug 21
    +$1.5K
  2. 2
    Will Scottie Scheffler win the TOUR Championship?
    $283 on Yes, Aug 24
    +$1.0K
  3. 3
    yes Buffalo wins by over 5.5 points,yes Over 54.5 points scored
    $285 on Yes, Sep 17
    +$820
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Will Billy Horschel win the 3M Open?19+$0
Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?11+$0
Will Patrick Cantlay win the BMW Championship?80%-$236
What will be LeBron James's next team?8+$0
no SF 49ers,yes Over 39.5 points scored1+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 22Sep 19

Profit by month

Dec 2025-$191
Jan 2026-$158
Aug 2026+$2.0K
Sep 2026-$275

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy raw.threat on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.