rivomarkets
Kalshi

rough.grape

+$8.1K
Tracked Trades
669
First Seen
Feb 9, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 20, 2026
Followers
4

rough.grape is a Kalshi trader with 669 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 89 wins and 402 losses on settled markets, $8.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Purdue wins on Sep 20.

Win rate
18%
Return on settled
+14%
Money traded
$163.0K
Typical trade
$42
Copy score
15/100
Kalshi rank
#794

Profit over time

+$9.5K-$4.7K
Feb 9Sep 20

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2878%8%-1 pts
20 to 40¢16429%30%+1 pts
40 to 60¢10951%28%-24 pts
60 to 80¢3870%13%-57 pts
Over 80¢3391%100%+9 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $915825%-$42
$9 to $421589%-$1.7K
$43 to $23015816%+$6.6K
$231 to $9.2K15721%+$3.7K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports750%+$211

Side taken

Yes 74%26% No

If you had copied rough.grape

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$5261
Profit
on $47500 staked
86-389
Record
18% win rate
-11%
Return
49 still open
Profit over time475 settled trades
+$0-$11.1K
Jul 13Sep 14
-$11.7K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.86×
Profit factor
$33.6K won vs $38.9K lost
-7.0 pts
Edge vs implied
18% won at 25¢ avg
Longest losing streak
73
Deepest drawdown
426 trades

By category

other473 settled-11%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

28 open positions worth $3.8K

The markets rough.grape is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what rough.grape is holding

Recent positions

Purdue wins
Sep 20, avg 17¢
BUYYES$473-$473
Arizona wins by over 23.5 points
Sep 20, 5 fills, avg 51¢
BUYNO$484-$484
Northern Illinois wins
Sep 20, 8 fills, avg 4¢
BUYYES$89Open
See every position across 271 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Over 3.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 3.5 goals scored,yes Over 3.5 goals scored
    $184 on Yes, Jul 23
    +$3.5K
  2. 2
    yes San Diego,yes Boston,yes Milwaukee,yes Detroit
    $481 on Yes, Aug 2
    +$3.0K
  3. 3
    yes Milwaukee,yes Houston,yes Tampa Bay,yes Detroit,yes San Diego
    $184 on Yes, Aug 5
    +$3.0K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes Sunam Jeong,yes Fuerza Regia,yes Over 18.5 points scored40%-$639
yes Cleveland,yes Tampa Bay,yes Boston,no Over 9.5 runs scored20%-$931
yes Kansas City,yes Washington,yes Los Angeles A,yes Los Angeles D,yes Over 6.5 runs scored20%-$275
Will Bernard Tomic win the Norrie vs Tomic: Quarterfinal match?180%-$1.0K
yes Chicago C,yes Houston,yes Tampa Bay,yes San Diego,yes Over 6.5 runs scored20%-$237

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 23Sep 20

Profit by month

Feb 2026-$207
Jul 2026+$3.2K
Aug 2026+$2.3K
Sep 2026+$3.2K

Similar Kalshi traders

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