rivomarkets

samespinoza

+$196
Tracked Trades
628
First Seen
Jun 21, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 19, 2026
Followers
7

samespinoza is a Kalshi trader with 628 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 4 wins and 83 losses on settled markets, $196 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Milwaukee,yes Tampa Bay,yes New York M,yes Cleveland,yes Chicago C,yes Pittsburgh,yes Toronto,yes Houston,yes Chicago WS,yes St. Louis,yes New York Y,yes Seattle,yes San Diego,yes Los Angeles D,yes Los Angeles A on Sep 19.

Win rate
5%
Return on settled
+23%
Money traded
$32.6K
Typical trade
$9
Copy score
2/100
Kalshi rank
#2,710

Profit over time

+$649-$304
Jul 4Sep 19

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3292%2%+1 pts
20 to 40¢6332%100%+68 pts
40 to 60¢11149%0%-49 pts
60 to 80¢8767%100%+33 pts
Over 80¢3888%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $715714%-$29
$7 to $91570%-$246
$9 to $191572%-$98
$19 to $4.3K15725%+$569

Side taken

Yes 71%29% No

If you had copied samespinoza

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$3375
Profit
on $8700 staked
4-83
Record
5% win rate
-39%
Return
373 still open
Profit over time87 settled trades
+$94-$3.4K
Jun 22Sep 14
-$4.7K
Max drawdown
347% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.59×
Profit factor
$4.9K won vs $8.3K lost
+0.9 pts
Edge vs implied
5% won at 4¢ avg
Longest losing streak
47
Deepest drawdown
49 trades

By category

other87 settled-39%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

258 open positions worth $6.4K

The markets samespinoza is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what samespinoza is holding

Recent positions

yes Milwaukee,yes Tampa Bay,yes New York M,yes Cleveland,yes Chicago C,yes Pittsburgh,yes Toronto,yes Houston,yes Chicago WS,yes St. Louis,yes New York Y,yes Seattle,yes San Diego,yes Los Angeles D,yes Los Angeles A
Sep 19, avg 0¢
BUYYES$9Open
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 19, avg 90¢
SELLNO$1.1KOpen
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 19, avg 41¢
BUYYES$0-$0
See every position across 345 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Matisse Bobichon,yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Borna Gojo,yes Pavel Lagutin,yes Oriol Roca Batalla,yes Luka Mikrut,yes Bernard Tomic
    $47 on Yes, Sep 15
    +$675
  2. 2
    yes Los Angeles D,yes New York Y,yes San Diego,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,no Over 12.5 runs scored,no Over 11.5 runs scored,no Over 12.5 runs scored,yes Over 6.5 runs scored,no Over 11.5 runs scored,no Over 12.5 runs scored,yes Kansas City,no Bo Nix: 3+,no Patrick Mahomes: 3+,no Bo Nix: 4+,yes Patrick Mahomes: 1+,no Bo Nix: 350+,yes Patrick Mahomes: 150+,no Patrick Mahomes: 30+
    $9 on Yes, Sep 14
    +$302
  3. 3
    Will Argentina win in Extra Time?
    $6 on Yes, Jul 4
    +$11
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes Arizona wins by over 1.5 runs,yes New York Y wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Toronto wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Milwaukee wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Los Angeles D wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Chicago WS wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Minnesota wins by over 1.5 runs2+$0
WTI Oil price up in next 15 mins?119+$0
Gold price up in next 15 mins?1170%-$54
yes Alexander Zverev,yes San Diego,yes Boston,yes Los Angeles D,no Houston wins by over 3.5 runs,no Colorado wins by over 3.5 runs,no Pittsburgh wins by over 3.5 runs,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Barcelona,yes Arsenal,yes Stuttgart,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Coco Gauff20%-$9
yes Milwaukee,yes Philadelphia,yes New York Y,yes Miami,yes Chicago WS,yes Houston,yes Texas,yes Cleveland,yes Arizona,yes San Diego,yes Los Angeles D2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 22Sep 19

Profit by month

Jul 2026-$6
Aug 2026-$65
Sep 2026+$268

Similar Kalshi traders

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Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.