sebas91
+$31.9K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,140
- First Seen
- Aug 10, 2026
- Last Trade
- Aug 29, 2026
- Followers
- 1,877
sebas91 is a Kalshi trader with 1,140 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 538 wins and 319 losses on settled markets, $31.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXLALIGASPREAD-26AUG30RMAMCF-RMA3 on Aug 29.
- Win rate
- 63%
- Return on settled
- +12%
- Money traded
- $326.5K
- Typical trade
- $42
- Copy score
- 59/100
- Kalshi rank
- #270
Profit over time
+$31.9K-$5.9K
Aug 10Aug 29
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1646%5%+0 pts
20 to 40¢13532%13%-18 pts
40 to 60¢15451%58%+8 pts
60 to 80¢23671%74%+4 pts
Over 80¢45189%90%+1 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $728558%-$60
$7 to $4228560%-$306
$43 to $17128558%-$2.7K
$172 to $14K28573%+$35.0K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Culture2078%+$111
Sports5100%+$1.9K
Side taken
Yes 70%30% No
If you had copied sebas91
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$8121
Profit
on $85700 staked
538-319
Record
63% win rate
-9%
Return
+$0-$10.3K
Aug 10Aug 24
-$10.7K
Max drawdown
53544% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.75×
Profit factor
$23.8K won vs $31.9K lost
+1.1 pts
Edge vs implied
63% won at 62¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 38
- Deepest drawdown
- 729 trades
By category
sports5 settled+30%
culture18 settled+19%
other834 settled-10%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
KXLALIGASPREAD-26AUG30RMAMCF-RMA3
Aug 29, 4 fills, avg 50¢
yes Dortmund wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Tottenham wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Chelsea wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Real Sociedad wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Atletico wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Lyon wins by more than 1.5 goals,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 3.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 4.5 goals scored,no Over 4.5 goals scored
Aug 29, avg 0¢
yes Ind. del Valle,yes America wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Atlas wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Guadalajara wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Tigres wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Lyon wins by more than 1.5 goals
Aug 29, avg 0¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$8.1KKXLALIGASPREAD-26AUG30RMAMCF-RMA3$8.2K on Yes, Aug 29
- 2+$7.4KHeidenheim vs Bayern Munich Winner?$10.7K on Yes, Aug 18
- 3+$7.4Kyes Atletico,yes Real Madrid,yes Barcelona$4.9K on Yes, Aug 18
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?45758%-$2.9K
KXITFWMATCH-26AUG26CHELUX-LUX15100%+$4.3K
Cincinnati vs Chicago WS Winner?3100%+$1.3K
Will Alan Magadan win the Magadan vs Noguchi: Qualifying match?41100%+$3.1K
Marseille vs Atletico Winner?88100%+$4.1K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 1Aug 29
Profit by month
Aug 2026+$31.9K
Similar Kalshi traders
Copy sebas91 on autopilot or by hand.
Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.