rivomarkets

shorts.folk

+$12.0K
Tracked Trades
1,339
First Seen
Aug 24, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 20, 2026
Followers
9

shorts.folk is a Kalshi trader with 1,339 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 297 wins and 293 losses on settled markets, $12.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: St. Louis wins on Sep 20.

Win rate
50%
Return on settled
+32%
Money traded
$85.7K
Typical trade
$15
Copy score
46/100
Kalshi rank
#578

Profit over time

+$11.2K+$0
Aug 24Sep 20

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1729%10%+1 pts
20 to 40¢18631%48%+18 pts
40 to 60¢27050%60%+11 pts
60 to 80¢29170%59%-11 pts
Over 80¢17691%89%-2 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $227437%-$14
$3 to $1527450%+$383
$15 to $6227451%+$208
$63 to $7.4K27357%+$9.5K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Crypto1171%+$5.5K
Culture4100%+$2.6K
Sports3100%+$625

Side taken

Yes 50%50% No

If you had copied shorts.folk

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$6099
Profit
on $55700 staked
271-286
Record
49% win rate
+11%
Return
151 still open
Profit over time557 settled trades
+$6.1K-$1.6K
Aug 24Sep 14
-$10.8K
Max drawdown
192% below peak
0.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.21×
Profit factor
$34.7K won vs $28.6K lost
+4.4 pts
Edge vs implied
49% won at 44¢ avg
Longest losing streak
39
Deepest drawdown
216 trades

By category

crypto7 settled+116%
other544 settled+9%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

50 open positions worth $3.9K

The markets shorts.folk is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what shorts.folk is holding

Recent positions

St. Louis wins
Sep 20, 8 fills, avg 78¢
BUYNO$1.0K+$295
no Target Price: $762.07,no Target Price: $81,101.28,no Target Price: $0.0870082,no Target Price: $2,620.61,no Target Price: $91.7639,no Target Price: $3.5597,no Target Price: $110.2702,no Target Price: $1.3994,no Target Price: $1,464.9841
Sep 20, avg 52¢
BUYYES$76-$76
yes Chicago C,yes Kansas City,yes Texas,yes Atlanta,yes Washington,yes Seattle
Sep 20, avg 37¢
BUYYES$192-$192
See every position across 188 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $686 on No, Aug 24
    +$5.0K
  2. 2
    WTI Oil price up in next 15 mins?
    $979 on No, Aug 25
    +$2.3K
  3. 3
    St. Louis wins
    $960 on Yes, Sep 3
    +$1.7K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?59842%+$5.0K
yes Frances Tiafoe,yes New York M,yes Kansas2+$0
Gold price up in next 15 mins?12251%+$534
Silver price up in next 15 mins?2975%+$351
yes Amanda Serrano,yes Antigua And Barbuda Falcons,yes Isaac Becroft,yes Kokoro Isomura,yes Shanelle Dyer,yes Jackson McVey20%-$938

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 23Sep 20

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$8.0K
Sep 2026+$2.1K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy shorts.folk on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.