rivomarkets

smiling.nightingale3231

+$7.1K
Tracked Trades
423
First Seen
Aug 6, 2026
Last Trade
Aug 29, 2026
Followers
23

smiling.nightingale3231 is a Kalshi trader with 423 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 56 wins and 103 losses on settled markets, $7.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXATPMATCH-26AUG29FERBUS-FER on Aug 29.

Win rate
35%
Return on settled
+19%
Money traded
$93.9K
Typical trade
$50
Copy score
28/100
Kalshi rank
#870

Profit over time

+$7.7K+$0
Aug 16Aug 29

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1367%5%-3 pts
20 to 40¢7031%21%-10 pts
40 to 60¢9947%15%-32 pts
60 to 80¢8867%100%+33 pts
Over 80¢3086%100%+14 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $610614%-$48
$6 to $5010636%-$551
$54 to $23710633%-$118
$242 to $4.8K10557%+$7.8K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports1280%+$5.4K
Culture6100%+$3.2K

Side taken

Yes 77%23% No

If you had copied smiling.nightingale3231

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$5755
Profit
on $15900 staked
56-103
Record
35% win rate
-36%
Return
165 still open
Profit over time159 settled trades
+$730-$5.8K
Aug 3Aug 24
-$7.1K
Max drawdown
859% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.44×
Profit factor
$4.5K won vs $10.3K lost
-8.5 pts
Edge vs implied
35% won at 44¢ avg
Longest losing streak
57
Deepest drawdown
134 trades

By category

culture5 settled+92%
sports10 settled+45%
other144 settled-46%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

96 open positions worth $24.8K

The markets smiling.nightingale3231 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what smiling.nightingale3231 is holding

Recent positions

KXATPMATCH-26AUG29FERBUS-FER
Aug 29, avg 52¢
BUYYES$580-$580
Parlay: Frances Tiafoe + Taylor Fritz + Carlos Alcaraz + Diane Parry
Aug 29, 2 fills, avg 43¢
BUYYES$1.9K+$2.6K
Benjamin Bonzi wins
Aug 28, avg 30¢
BUYYES$2-$2
See every position across 161 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Parlay: Frances Tiafoe + Taylor Fritz + Carlos Alcaraz + Diane Parry
    $1.9K on Yes, Aug 29
    +$2.6K
  2. 2
    yes Arthur Fils,yes Coco Gauff
    $1.2K on Yes, Aug 23
    +$2.0K
  3. 3
    Diane Parry wins
    $1.4K on Yes, Aug 25
    +$1.8K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes Kokoro Isomura,yes Las Vegas40%-$1.5K
yes Nuno Borges,yes Lorenzo Musetti2+$0
Arthur Fery wins1100%+$1.8K
Will Nuno Borges win the Borges vs Nakashima: Round Of 16 match?6+$0
yes Felix Auger-Aliassime,yes Taylor Fritz,yes Brandon Nakashima,yes Nuno Borges4+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 1Aug 29

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$7.1K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy smiling.nightingale3231 on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.