smoke.
- Tracked Trades
- 1,001
- First Seen
- Apr 15, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 4, 2026
- Followers
- 251
smoke. is a Kalshi trader with 1,001 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 221 wins and 478 losses on settled markets, $7.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will it rain in Washington DC on Sep 3, 2026? on Sep 4.
- Win rate
- 32%
- Return on settled
- +37%
- Money traded
- $139.2K
- Typical trade
- $8
- Copy score
- 29/100
- Kalshi rank
- #804
Profit over time
Win rate against the odds
Results by bet size
Categories
Side taken
If you had copied smoke.
$100 per trade, last 90 days
- Longest losing streak
- 100
- Deepest drawdown
- 378 trades
By category
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
2 open positions worth $675
The markets smoke. is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
Biggest wins
- 1+$10.7KWill David Crowley be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin?$622 on Yes, Aug 11
- 2+$1.4KWill Wyndham Clark win the BMW Championship?$175 on Yes, Aug 21
- 3+$765Los Angeles vs Minnesota women's Pro Basketball game: Los Angeles wins?$191 on Yes, Aug 7
Most traded markets
When they trade
Activity, last 90 days
Profit by month
Similar Kalshi traders
Copy smoke. on autopilot or by hand.
Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.