rivomarkets
Kalshi

ThatSteelGuy.2904

thatsteelguy.2904

+$1.3K
Tracked Trades
615
First Seen
Dec 14, 2025
Last Trade
Sep 20, 2026
Followers
305

ThatSteelGuy.2904 is a Kalshi trader with 615 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 42 wins and 85 losses on settled markets, $1.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points on Sep 20.

Win rate
33%
Return on settled
+9%
Money traded
$94.2K
Typical trade
$24
Copy score
25/100
Kalshi rank
#1,990

Profit over time

+$7.4K-$3.1K
Dec 19Sep 19

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2338%7%-1 pts
20 to 40¢8528%21%-7 pts
40 to 60¢7251%11%-40 pts
60 to 80¢11170%91%+20 pts
Over 80¢11391%79%-12 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $915433%-$32
$9 to $2415416%-$234
$24 to $9415345%-$162
$94 to $8.3K15337%+$1.7K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports720%-$3.6K

Side taken

Yes 84%16% No

If you had copied ThatSteelGuy.2904

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$2591
Profit
on $12100 staked
40-81
Record
33% win rate
-21%
Return
375 still open
Profit over time121 settled trades
+$2.2K-$2.6K
Jun 22Sep 14
-$5.5K
Max drawdown
188% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.68×
Profit factor
$5.5K won vs $8.1K lost
-5.8 pts
Edge vs implied
33% won at 39¢ avg
Longest losing streak
48
Deepest drawdown
61 trades

By category

other116 settled-19%
sports5 settled-70%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

204 open positions worth $34.5K

The markets ThatSteelGuy.2904 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what ThatSteelGuy.2904 is holding

Recent positions

yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 20, avg 94¢
SELLNO$701Open
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 20, avg 94¢
SELLNO$3.5KOpen
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 20, avg 82¢
SELLNO$2.1KOpen
See every position across 271 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Kurtis Campbell,yes Felipe Lima,yes Daniil Donchenko,yes Salahdine Parnasse,yes Losene Keita,yes Michael Page,yes Mario Pinto,yes Axel Sola
    $281 on Yes, Sep 5
    +$5.6K
  2. 2
    yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
    $762 on Yes, Sep 8
    +$1.9K
  3. 3
    yes Edmonton Elks,yes San Francisco,yes Los Angeles D,yes SMU
    $405 on Yes, Sep 8
    +$1.0K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points4+$0
yes Steven Asplund,yes Yadier Delvalle,yes Diego Ferreira,yes Miles Johns,yes Alexia Thainara,yes Ty Cole Miller,yes Juliana Miller,yes Diyar Nurgozhay,yes Manoel Sousa2+$0
yes Steven Asplund,yes Caroline Foro Antunes,yes Yadier Delvalle,yes Diego Ferreira,yes Mateusz Gamrot,yes Miles Johns,yes Alexia Thainara,yes Ty Cole Miller,yes Juliana Miller,yes Diyar Nurgozhay,yes Manoel Sousa,yes Jose Montanha Da Silva2+$0
New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: New England wins?90%-$5.2K
yes Indiana,yes Las Vegas2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 23Sep 20

Profit by month

Dec 2025-$216
Jan 2026+$31
May 2026+$245
Aug 2026-$1.7K
Sep 2026+$2.9K

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