rivomarkets

the.guy

+$313
Tracked Trades
489
First Seen
Sep 8, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 16, 2026
Followers
64

the.guy is a Kalshi trader with 489 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 173 wins and 43 losses on settled markets, $313 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Bitcoin price on Sep 16, 2026? on Sep 16.

Win rate
80%
Return on settled
+0%
Money traded
$131.9K
Typical trade
$92
Copy score
74/100
Kalshi rank
#2,590

Profit over time

+$5.8K-$2.7K
Sep 9Sep 16

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢929%
20 to 40¢926%
40 to 60¢451%
60 to 80¢17370%60%-10 pts
Over 80¢20788%94%+6 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1012276%-$9
$11 to $9212182%+$156
$94 to $54812174%-$2.1K
$548 to $2.0K12185%+$2.0K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Crypto8482%+$356

Side taken

Yes 61%39% No

If you had copied the.guy

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$599
Profit
on $21500 staked
172-43
Record
80% win rate
-3%
Return
93 still open
Profit over time215 settled trades
+$0-$599
Sep 7Sep 14
-$2.2K
Max drawdown
138% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.86×
Profit factor
$3.7K won vs $4.3K lost
-0.3 pts
Edge vs implied
80% won at 80¢ avg
Longest losing streak
12
Deepest drawdown
28 trades

By category

crypto50 settled-0%
other165 settled-4%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

21 open positions worth $26.5K

The markets the.guy is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what the.guy is holding

Recent positions

Bitcoin price on Sep 16, 2026?
Sep 16, avg 81¢
SELLNO$608Open
Bitcoin price on Sep 16, 2026?
Sep 16, 12 fills, avg 64¢
BUYYES$1.6K-$1.6K
Bitcoin price on Sep 16, 2026?
Sep 16, 20 fills, avg 67¢
BUYYES$2.1KOpen
See every position across 97 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Bitcoin price on Sep 15, 2026?
    $4.2K on Yes, Sep 15
    +$870
  2. 2
    Bitcoin price on Aug 21, 2026?
    $1.9K on Yes, Sep 16
    +$608
  3. 3
    Bitcoin price on Aug 21, 2026?
    $1.0K on Yes, Sep 9
    +$473
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin price on Sep 15, 2026?201100%+$3.0K
Bitcoin price on Sep 16, 2026?13823%-$5.2K
Bitcoin price on Aug 21, 2026?2986%+$838
Bitcoin price on Sep 12, 2026?4257%+$307
Bitcoin price on Sep 9, 2026?1278%+$293

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 19Sep 16

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$29

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy the.guy on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.