rivomarkets

theballman

+$2.4K
Tracked Trades
747
First Seen
Apr 6, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 20, 2026
Followers
2

theballman is a Kalshi trader with 747 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 139 wins and 110 losses on settled markets, $2.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Ole Miss wins by over 6.5 points on Sep 20.

Win rate
56%
Return on settled
+21%
Money traded
$33.9K
Typical trade
$24
Copy score
55/100
Kalshi rank
#1,576

Profit over time

+$1.6K-$415
Apr 7Sep 20

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4912%0%-12 pts
20 to 40¢12732%35%+3 pts
40 to 60¢27550%42%-8 pts
60 to 80¢21068%75%+7 pts
Over 80¢6090%82%-8 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1018141%-$68
$10 to $2418044%-$57
$24 to $5418054%-$148
$55 to $68718070%+$1.9K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Culture1+$0

Side taken

Yes 56%44% No

If you had copied theballman

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$32
Profit
on $10600 staked
62-44
Record
58% win rate
+0%
Return
128 still open
Profit over time106 settled trades
+$384-$676
Jun 22Sep 14
-$1.6K
Max drawdown
224% below peak
0.0×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.01×
Profit factor
$4.4K won vs $4.4K lost
+0.8 pts
Edge vs implied
58% won at 58¢ avg
Longest losing streak
7
Deepest drawdown
46 trades

By category

other106 settled+0%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

72 open positions worth $7.1K

The markets theballman is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what theballman is holding

Recent positions

Ole Miss wins by over 6.5 points
Sep 20, avg 29¢
SELLNO$100Open
Ole Miss wins by over 6.5 points
Sep 20, 9 fills, avg 68¢
BUYYES$235+$111
Will LSU win the LSU vs Ole Miss college football game?
Sep 20, avg 70¢
SELLNO$129Open
See every position across 323 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Colorado wins
    $273 on Yes, Sep 4
    +$442
  2. 2
    Game 1: New York at San Antonio Winner?
    $183 on Yes, Jun 4
    +$279
  3. 3
    Game 6: Los Angeles L at Houston Winner?
    $174 on Yes, May 2
    +$250
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Game 1: New York at San Antonio Winner?767%-$166
Over 0.5 1H goals scored?16+$0
BTC price up in next 15 mins?4078%+$10
Over 1.5 1H goals scored?15+$0
Colorado wins11100%+$442

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 23Sep 20

Profit by month

Apr 2026-$136
May 2026-$95
Jun 2026+$273
Aug 2026+$208
Sep 2026+$1.4K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy theballman on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.