rivomarkets

theonlyOrion

theonlyorion

+$15.2K
Tracked Trades
585
First Seen
Jun 16, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 17, 2026
Followers
32

theonlyOrion is a Kalshi trader with 585 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 18 wins and 47 losses on settled markets, $15.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points on Sep 17.

Win rate
28%
Return on settled
+98%
Money traded
$75.1K
Typical trade
$38
Copy score
18/100
Kalshi rank
#487

Profit over time

+$15.4K-$9
Jun 29Sep 13

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2927%10%+3 pts
20 to 40¢13329%23%-6 pts
40 to 60¢8849%92%+43 pts
60 to 80¢5266%
Over 80¢1892%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $81460%-$41
$8 to $3814610%+$94
$38 to $9414620%+$504
$94 to $4.8K14568%+$14.6K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Culture1+$0
Sports1+$0

Side taken

Yes 83%17% No

If you had copied theonlyOrion

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$2029
Profit
on $6500 staked
18-47
Record
28% win rate
+31%
Return
285 still open
Profit over time65 settled trades
+$2.0K-$964
Jun 22Sep 14
-$1.5K
Max drawdown
977% below peak
1.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.43×
Profit factor
$6.7K won vs $4.7K lost
+9.9 pts
Edge vs implied
28% won at 18¢ avg
Longest losing streak
11
Deepest drawdown
30 trades

By category

other65 settled+31%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

226 open positions worth $36.2K

The markets theonlyOrion is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what theonlyOrion is holding

Recent positions

yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 17, avg 42¢
BUYYES$1.4KOpen
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 17, avg 44¢
BUYYES$2.9KOpen
yes Georgia wins by over 24.5 points,yes Over 42.5 points scored
Sep 13, avg 50¢
BUYYES$4.8KOpen
See every position across 367 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
    $3.9K on Yes, Sep 8
    +$4.2K
  2. 2
    yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
    $3.9K on Yes, Sep 13
    +$4.1K
  3. 3
    yes Portugal advances,yes Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+
    $1.4K on Yes, Jul 2
    +$2.0K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points5100%+$10.0K
yes Georgia wins by over 24.5 points,yes Over 42.5 points scored1+$0
yes Colombia advances,yes Luis Diaz: 1+1+$0
yes Argentina advances,yes Lionel Messi: 1+,no Reg Time: Over 4.5 goals scored2+$0
yes Morocco advances,no Goal Diff Reg Time: Morocco wins by more than 1.5 goals2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 20Sep 17

Profit by month

Jun 2026+$303
Jul 2026+$2.3K
Aug 2026-$49
Sep 2026+$12.6K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy theonlyOrion on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.