rivomarkets

thesimones

-$349
Tracked Trades
647
First Seen
Mar 16, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 22, 2026
Followers
6

thesimones is a Kalshi trader with 647 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 350 wins and 79 losses on settled markets, -$349 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Sep 22.

Win rate
82%
Return on settled
-1%
Money traded
$77.4K
Typical trade
$24
Copy score
88/100
Kalshi rank
#3,180

Profit over time

+$231-$1.8K
Mar 16Sep 22

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢5611%12%+1 pts
20 to 40¢6029%33%+5 pts
40 to 60¢10651%52%+1 pts
60 to 80¢4369%87%+18 pts
Over 80¢38297%100%+3 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $816297%+$58
$8 to $2416259%-$281
$24 to $9716273%+$85
$97 to $6.5K16195%-$211

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Crypto10100%+$383

Side taken

Yes 68%32% No

If you had copied thesimones

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$2818
Profit
on $36700 staked
336-31
Record
92% win rate
+8%
Return
144 still open
Profit over time367 settled trades
+$2.8K-$741
Jun 29Sep 21
-$1.0K
Max drawdown
1241% below peak
2.8×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.91×
Profit factor
$5.9K won vs $3.1K lost
+2.5 pts
Edge vs implied
92% won at 89¢ avg
Longest losing streak
5
Deepest drawdown
28 trades

By category

other358 settled+8%
crypto9 settled+5%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

55 open positions worth $14.4K

The markets thesimones is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what thesimones is holding

Recent positions

BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 22, 2 fills, avg 88¢
BUYNO$1.2K+$161
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 22, avg 100¢
BUYNO$1.1K+$2
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 21, avg 95¢
BUYYES$1.8K+$101
See every position across 179 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Michigan win the College Basketball National Championship?
    $208 on Yes, Mar 28
    +$767
  2. 2
    Joshua Van wins
    $691 on Yes, Sep 20
    +$183
  3. 3
    Will the Spain win the 2026 Men's World Cup?
    $243 on Yes, Jul 19
    +$174
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?351100%+$1.0K
Will UConn win the College Basketball National Championship?120%-$1.3K
Will Boise St. win the College Football Pac-12 Championship?7+$0
St. John's at Duke Winner?20%-$125
Will Fresno St. win the College Football Pac-12 Championship?2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 25Sep 22

Profit by month

Mar 2026-$296
Apr 2026-$1.3K
Jun 2026-$215
Jul 2026+$174
Aug 2026-$65
Sep 2026+$1.3K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy thesimones on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.