rivomarkets
Kalshi

thomasleininger

-$486
Tracked Trades
684
First Seen
Mar 16, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 19, 2026
Followers
5

thomasleininger is a Kalshi trader with 684 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 31 wins and 55 losses on settled markets, -$486 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Chicago C,yes Kansas City,yes Milwaukee on Sep 19.

Win rate
36%
Return on settled
-3%
Money traded
$121.7K
Typical trade
$34
Copy score
23/100
Kalshi rank
#3,192

Profit over time

+$1.6K-$2.8K
Apr 28Sep 19

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1318%29%+21 pts
20 to 40¢6830%27%-3 pts
40 to 60¢20151%22%-28 pts
60 to 80¢14970%78%+8 pts
Over 80¢13589%100%+11 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1017113%-$20
$10 to $3417131%-$53
$34 to $16517142%+$44
$165 to $4.5K17145%-$457

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports1150%+$690
Culture250%-$251

Side taken

Yes 69%31% No

If you had copied thomasleininger

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$76
Profit
on $6000 staked
20-40
Record
33% win rate
-1%
Return
308 still open
Profit over time60 settled trades
+$542-$245
Jun 22Sep 14
-$2.3K
Max drawdown
432% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.98×
Profit factor
$3.9K won vs $4.0K lost
-16.4 pts
Edge vs implied
33% won at 50¢ avg
Longest losing streak
21
Deepest drawdown
37 trades

By category

sports8 settled+5%
other50 settled-2%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

155 open positions worth $40.0K

The markets thomasleininger is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what thomasleininger is holding

Recent positions

yes Chicago C,yes Kansas City,yes Milwaukee
Sep 19, avg 8¢
BUYYES$232-$232
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 19, avg 88¢
SELLNO$2.0KOpen
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 18, avg 33¢
BUYYES$721Open
See every position across 271 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Parlay: Baltimore + Buffalo
    $796 on Yes, Sep 13
    +$1.8K
  2. 2
    Will Texas win the Ohio St. vs Texas college football game?
    $2.9K on Yes, Sep 13
    +$1.8K
  3. 3
    yes Houston,yes Philadelphia,yes Chicago WS,yes Boston,yes Mary Stoiana
    $47 on Yes, Sep 17
    +$993
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes Mansur Abdul-Malik,yes Esteban Ribovics,yes Mackenzie Dern,yes Islam Makhachev,yes Joel Alvarez,yes Jalin Turner2+$0
Will Texas win the Ohio St. vs Texas college football game?3100%+$1.8K
Volos vs Kalamata Winner?19+$0
no Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Elche1+$0
Parlay: NE Patriots + BUF Bills20%-$796

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 22Sep 19

Profit by month

Apr 2026-$26
May 2026-$104
Jun 2026-$313
Jul 2026+$224
Aug 2026-$460
Sep 2026+$194

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