rivomarkets

thread.wealth

+$6.7K
Tracked Trades
1,611
First Seen
Jul 24, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 18, 2026

thread.wealth is a Kalshi trader with 1,611 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 69 wins and 898 losses on settled markets, $6.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points on Sep 18.

Win rate
7%
Return on settled
+13%
Money traded
$387.4K
Typical trade
$19
Copy score
6/100
Kalshi rank
#904

Profit over time

+$10.0K-$19.1K
Jul 24Sep 18

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢12644%5%+0 pts
20 to 40¢11927%19%-8 pts
40 to 60¢2647%45%-2 pts
60 to 80¢4572%67%-6 pts
Over 80¢15792%100%+8 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $94035%-$1.6K
$9 to $194035%-$288
$19 to $944035%-$5.5K
$94 to $15K40216%+$14.0K

Side taken

Yes 85%15% No

If you had copied thread.wealth

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$27056
Profit
on $96700 staked
69-898
Record
7% win rate
-28%
Return
400 still open
Profit over time967 settled trades
+$5.5K-$31.2K
Jul 20Sep 14
-$43.7K
Max drawdown
609% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.70×
Profit factor
$62.7K won vs $89.8K lost
-0.6 pts
Edge vs implied
7% won at 8¢ avg
Longest losing streak
205
Deepest drawdown
730 trades

By category

other967 settled-28%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

333 open positions worth $7.5K

The markets thread.wealth is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what thread.wealth is holding

Recent positions

yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 18, avg 94¢
SELLNO$2.0KOpen
yes Tristan Schoolkate,yes Marco Trungelliti,yes Jay Clarke,yes Luka Mikrut,yes Titouan Droguet,yes Pavel Kotov,yes Francesco Maestrelli,yes Alejandro Moro Canas,yes Sebastian Gorzny,yes Michael Zheng
Sep 18, avg 0¢
BUYYES$9Open
yes Tristan Schoolkate,yes Marco Trungelliti,yes Diego Dedura-Palomero,yes Titouan Droguet,yes Michael Zheng,yes Tampa Bay,yes Kansas City,yes San Francisco,yes Baltimore,yes Philadelphia,yes Kansas City
Sep 18, avg 4¢
BUYYES$9-$9
See every position across 1,070 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Frances Tiafoe,yes Brandon Nakashima,yes Arthur Fils,yes Taylor Fritz,yes Thiago Agustin Tirante,yes Tommy Paul
    $280 on Yes, Aug 19
    +$10.1K
  2. 2
    yes Jaime Faria,yes Terence Atmane,yes Daniel Merida,yes Alex Michelsen,yes Cameron Norrie,yes Stefanos Tsitsipas,yes Thiago Agustin Tirante,yes Miomir Kecmanovic,yes Luca Van Assche,yes Coleman Wong
    $187 on Yes, Aug 13
    +$5.5K
  3. 3
    yes Jaime Faria,yes Frances Tiafoe,yes Lorenzo Musetti,yes Flavio Cobolli,yes Thiago Agustin Tirante
    $94 on Yes, Aug 18
    +$4.0K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points3+$0
yes Luciano Darderi,yes Arthur Fils,yes Daniel Merida,yes Rafael Jodar,yes Brandon Nakashima,yes Joao Fonseca,yes Thiago Agustin Tirante,yes Jakub Mensik20%-$92
yes Daniel Merida,yes Alex Michelsen,yes Juan Manuel Cerundolo,yes Botic Van de Zandschulp,yes Lorenzo Musetti,yes Terence Atmane,yes Alexander Blockx,yes Luciano Darderi,yes Rafael Jodar,yes Alejandro Tabilo,yes Learner Tien,yes Alexander Zverev20%-$187
yes Frances Tiafoe,yes Brandon Nakashima,yes Arthur Fils,yes Taylor Fritz,yes Thiago Agustin Tirante,yes Tommy Paul2100%+$10.1K
yes Lorenzo Musetti,yes Terence Atmane,yes Arthur Fery,yes Arthur Fils,yes Rafael Jodar,yes Tommy Paul,yes Learner Tien,yes Alexander Zverev,yes Joao Fonseca,yes Taylor Fritz,yes Daniel Merida,yes Brandon Nakashima,yes Casper Ruud,yes Ben Shelton20%-$93

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 21Sep 18

Profit by month

Jul 2026-$5.8K
Aug 2026+$12.6K
Sep 2026-$112

Similar Kalshi traders

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Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.