rivomarkets

tie.shoe

+$3.2K
Tracked Trades
371
First Seen
Feb 13, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 19, 2026

tie.shoe is a Kalshi trader with 371 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 28 wins and 90 losses on settled markets, $3.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Coastal Carolina wins on Sep 19.

Win rate
24%
Return on settled
+55%
Money traded
$15.5K
Typical trade
$11
Copy score
17/100
Kalshi rank
#1,404

Profit over time

+$3.2K-$87
Feb 14Sep 19

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢19113%29%+16 pts
20 to 40¢14327%22%-5 pts
40 to 60¢2845%27%-19 pts
60 to 80¢269%
Over 80¢790%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $3930%-$19
$3 to $119335%+$170
$11 to $349321%-$145
$35 to $1.7K9248%+$3.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports2+$0
Culture1+$0

Side taken

Yes 92%8% No

If you had copied tie.shoe

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$1508
Profit
on $10300 staked
25-78
Record
24% win rate
-15%
Return
17 still open
Profit over time103 settled trades
+$212-$1.5K
Jun 22Sep 14
-$5.7K
Max drawdown
2675% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.81×
Profit factor
$6.3K won vs $7.8K lost
-8.8 pts
Edge vs implied
24% won at 33¢ avg
Longest losing streak
47
Deepest drawdown
70 trades

By category

other103 settled-15%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

7 open positions worth $847

The markets tie.shoe is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what tie.shoe is holding

Recent positions

Coastal Carolina wins
Sep 19, avg 87¢
SELLNO$597Open
Clemson wins
Sep 19, avg 90¢
SELLNO$1.7KOpen
Clemson wins
Sep 19, avg 18¢
BUYYES$350+$1.6K
See every position across 100 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Clemson wins
    $350 on Yes, Sep 19
    +$1.6K
  2. 2
    Juarez wins
    $216 on Yes, Sep 19
    +$813
  3. 3
    Inter vs Bodoe/Glimt Winner?
    $74 on Yes, Feb 24
    +$751
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Clemson wins2100%+$1.6K
Susan Bandecchi wins20%-$334
Will Cannon Kingsley win the Feldbausch vs Kingsley : Round Of 32 match?5+$0
Victor Bini wins60%-$252
Juarez wins5618%+$396

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 22Sep 19

Profit by month

Feb 2026+$484
Jun 2026-$68
Sep 2026+$2.8K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy tie.shoe on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.