rivomarkets

traderguy2026

+$13.5K
Tracked Trades
1,385
First Seen
Apr 15, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 19, 2026
Followers
2

traderguy2026 is a Kalshi trader with 1,385 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 204 wins and 673 losses on settled markets, $13.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points on Sep 19.

Win rate
23%
Return on settled
+22%
Money traded
$174.0K
Typical trade
$15
Copy score
20/100
Kalshi rank
#534

Profit over time

+$21.7K-$2.8K
Apr 15Sep 19

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢7916%4%-1 pts
20 to 40¢21029%48%+20 pts
40 to 60¢12749%61%+11 pts
60 to 80¢6868%50%-18 pts
Over 80¢18992%100%+8 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $23479%-$65
$2 to $1534619%-$510
$15 to $9434627%-$1.3K
$94 to $9.7K34649%+$15.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports850%-$238
Culture1+$0
Politics10%-$550

Side taken

Yes 76%24% No

If you had copied traderguy2026

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$20002
Profit
on $66400 staked
150-514
Record
23% win rate
-30%
Return
255 still open
Profit over time664 settled trades
+$0-$24.1K
Jun 22Sep 14
-$27.3K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.61×
Profit factor
$31.4K won vs $51.4K lost
+0.9 pts
Edge vs implied
23% won at 22¢ avg
Longest losing streak
86
Deepest drawdown
336 trades

By category

other661 settled-30%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

98 open positions worth $19.0K

The markets traderguy2026 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what traderguy2026 is holding

Recent positions

yes Leeds United,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Celta Vigo,no Over 4.5 goals scored
Sep 19, avg 93¢
SELLNO$1.2KOpen
yes Atlanta,yes Seattle,yes Minnesota,yes New York Y,yes Los Angeles D,no Over 9.5 runs scored
Sep 19, avg 20¢
BUYYES$96Open
yes Leeds United,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Celta Vigo,no Over 4.5 goals scored
Sep 19, avg 92¢
SELLNO$1.0KOpen
See every position across 250 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Navajo Stirling,yes Michael Oliveira,yes Noah Gugnon,yes Jovan Leka,yes Nina Milosevic,yes Aleksandar Rakic,yes Mateusz Rebecki
    $1.5K on Yes, Aug 1
    +$11.5K
  2. 2
    yes Navajo Stirling,yes Noah Gugnon,yes Aleksandar Rakic
    $1.7K on Yes, Aug 1
    +$4.4K
  3. 3
    Mariano Navone wins
    $720 on Yes, Aug 31
    +$3.4K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Who will win the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?1206%-$275
Will Toby Doeden be the Republican nominee for Governor in South Dakota?2047%-$897
yes Navajo Stirling,yes Michael Oliveira,yes Noah Gugnon,yes Jovan Leka,yes Nina Milosevic,yes Aleksandar Rakic,yes Mateusz Rebecki4100%+$11.5K
KXGOVCA-26-KPOR1050%-$1.6K
yes Yadier Delvalle,yes Amanda Lemos20%-$281

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 22Sep 19

Profit by month

Apr 2026+$1.3K
May 2026-$1.8K
Jun 2026-$657
Jul 2026+$4.4K
Aug 2026+$9.5K
Sep 2026+$719

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy traderguy2026 on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.