rivomarkets

true.cage

+$9.3K
Tracked Trades
148
First Seen
Feb 9, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 3, 2026
Followers
24

true.cage is a Kalshi trader with 148 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 64 wins and 67 losses on settled markets, $9.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Sep 3.

Win rate
49%
Return on settled
+405%
Money traded
$10.3K
Typical trade
$9
Copy score
41/100
Kalshi rank
#712

Profit over time

+$9.3K-$42
Feb 9Sep 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢208%6%-2 pts
20 to 40¢830%67%+37 pts
40 to 60¢3852%48%-4 pts
60 to 80¢5169%63%-7 pts
Over 80¢3187%48%-39 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $33712%-$23
$3 to $93742%+$9.0K
$9 to $193767%+$59
$19 to $7.5K3776%+$261

Side taken

Yes 88%12% No

If you had copied true.cage

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$97252
Profit
on $13000 staked
64-66
Record
49% win rate
+748%
Return
6 still open
Profit over time130 settled trades
+$97.3K-$678
Aug 17Aug 31
-$2.4K
Max drawdown
982% below peak
40.0×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
15.74×
Profit factor
$103.9K won vs $6.6K lost
-9.7 pts
Edge vs implied
49% won at 59¢ avg
Longest losing streak
13
Deepest drawdown
54 trades

By category

other130 settled+748%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

4 open positions worth $34

The markets true.cage is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what true.cage is holding

Recent positions

BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 3, 2 fills, avg 10¢
BUYNO$17-$17
New York Y wins
Sep 3, avg 51¢
BUYYES$24+$23
Detroit wins
Sep 3, avg 18¢
SELLNO$35Open
See every position across 74 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Juan Pablo Varillas,yes Michele Ribecai,yes Inaki Montes-de la Torre,yes Alexandre Muller,yes Thiago Seyboth Wild,yes Carlos Alcaraz,yes Stefanos Tsitsipas,yes Frances Tiafoe,yes Ann Li,yes Ekaterina Alexandrova,yes Karolina Muchova,yes Marta Kostyuk,yes Jasmine Paolini,yes Sorana Cirstea,yes Jessica Pegula,yes Diana Shnaider,yes Aryna Sabalenka,yes Leylah Fernandez,yes Kamilla Rakhimova,yes Elina Svitolina,yes Linda Noskova,yes Taylor Townsend,yes Anna Kalinskaya
    $9 on Yes, Sep 2
    +$9.1K
  2. 2
    Will Scottie Scheffler win the TOUR Championship?
    $145 on Yes, Aug 30
    +$153
  3. 3
    Detroit wins
    $97 on Yes, Sep 3
    +$97
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points1+$0
Will Scottie Scheffler win the TOUR Championship?8100%+$153
Bitcoin price on Sep 1, 2026?1030%-$84
Alejandro Moro Canas wins2100%+$67
Marco Cecchinato wins5100%+$17

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 6Sep 3

Profit by month

Feb 2026-$9
Aug 2026+$187
Sep 2026+$9.1K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy true.cage on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.